（粵語）烏克蘭對俄境内目標打擊繼續得手，俄加大核威脅｜【 #軍事熱點】

Since Russia invaded Ukraine, there has been a lack of evidence to support the statement about the actual casualties of the two sides. But recent analysis shows that the statistics of the Defense Ministry of Ukraine are getting closer and closer to the actual situation. Statistics show that the number of casualties on the Ukrainian battlefield has been increasing every day. There were about 120 casualties per day at the beginning, and now there are about 200 to 250 casualties per day. It is worth noting that the number of casualties is provided here, not the number of casualties. The daily update of the Defense Ministry of Ukraine shows that until July 7, the number of casualties of the Russian troops reached 55,990. Last year, it was almost clear. This is the daily number, including the number of casualties and injuries in the battle. In the past, this estimate was significantly different from the estimates of other Western countries. But in the past few months, the number provided by the Defense Ministry of Ukraine has begun to coincide with the number provided by the West. For example, in December last year, the estimated number of Russian casualties in the United States was 315,000, and the estimated number of Russian casualties in Ukraine was 346,050. The former U.K. Armed Forces Ambassador, Leo Tolstoy, said in April this year that the U.K. estimated that there were more than 450,000 casualties in Russia. This is very close to the number announced by the Defense Ministry of Ukraine two months ago. Using public information, including reports, social media posts, and regional news reports, such as Mediasona, BBC, and Russian news channels, they have provided regular statistics that can tell the number of Russian casualties. The latest number of Russian casualties was updated to 58,207. Because the statistics are based on different evidence, these numbers may be severely underestimated. But Mediasona and Medusa's independent statistics also provide a quick estimate of the number of Russian casualties. These numbers are based on the analysis of the data of the Kishinev case, and compared with the death toll recorded by the Russian National Bureau of Statistics and the death toll shown in the report for Russia. According to the latest calculation, from the end of June this year to February 2022, about 120,000 Russian soldiers died in the war. This is a conservative number because under their statistical conditions, it is very likely that the number of casualties was omitted under other circumstances. In fact, the number of Russian casualties may exceed 140,000. According to the report, the data shows that the loss of Russia has risen sharply in recent months, almost twice the number of casualties in the last three months of 2023. At that time, there were about 120 casualties per day. The report added that the number of casualties per day is now between 200 and 250. Kishinev and Moscow have not yet released their detailed death toll. Russian President Vladimir Putin said in February 2024 that there were about 31,000 Russian soldiers who died in the war but did not reveal how many were injured. At the same time, Putin said in June this year that the loss between Russia and Russia was 1 to 5, but did not provide evidence to prove his statement. Russian and American battlefield estimates show that Russia's casualties are significantly higher than that of Russia. The latest news from the Ukrainian battlefield shows that between July 6 and July 7, the Ukrainian military launched an unmanned attack in Yerevan, Czechoslovakia. On July 7, a geographical positioning video near Mokrozovka, Yerevan, showed smoke and explosion scenes. The report said the Russian ammunition depot was hit and may contain ground-to-ground missiles, ground-to-air missiles, anti-tank and artillery ammunition, and small arms ammunition. On July 6, the Ukrainian military launched a series of precision strikes against Russian military assets in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. This coordinated operation involved the Ukrainian Defense Intelligence Agency and the 45th Independent Artillery Air Reconnaissance Force. The main objective of this operation was to occupy a Russian military property in the German-occupied area. The facility was a key point for the Russian military to store anti-tank equipment and ammunition. This successful attack disrupted the Russian supply chain and weakened the Russian military's ability to fight in the region. The Ukrainian military also hit the Russian R-330 CHC-2 electronic interference communication station This is a Russian electronic warfare infrastructure. These high-value military assets are mainly used to interfere with the Ukrainian military's communication and radar systems. Since the end of June, the Ukrainian air force has launched a series of strikes located in Belgorod. The Ukrainian military may have used the French-made Armament and other weapons provided by the West. According to the War Research Institute, this shows that the Ukrainian army has the ability to use the weapons provided by the West, including anti-aircraft missiles and land-based tactical missiles, to strike military targets in the Russian rear area and in the rear-center areas, to weaken the Russian military's ability to carry out large-scale destruction. If the West continues to cancel restrictions, Ukraine may further disrupt Russia's offensive. On July 7, the Ukrainian military hit a Russian Su-25 attack aircraft The Ukrainian Air Force successfully hit a Russian Su-25 in the Donetsk region in the direction of Poroshenko. The Su-25 is a low-altitude land-based attack aircraft designed to support land forces in the area of the city. It is said to be able to destroy any designated land target According to a statement, the biggest city of Crimea in July 7, St. Petersburg, was attacked by six tactical missiles and killed four people, injuring more than 150 people. The Russian Defense Ministry said its air defense system shot down four missiles. The fifth missile was hit and exploded in the air in the city. Russian officials say the U.S. and Ukraine are equally responsible for this attack. Russia will retaliate. Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine was not successful, Moscow is considering changing the Russian nuclear weapon theory. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabov recently expressed his intention to lower the threshold for the use of nuclear weapons. He believes that if Moscow believes that sovereignty and territory are completely threatened, nuclear weapons can be used. Ryabov said the Ukrainian war meant that the traditional nuclear threat did not play a full role, so some conceptual additions and amendments were needed. Although no details have been provided, he said Russia will eventually take further steps to deal with the enemy. He reiterated his remarks that the West is intensifying this conflict. Since the full-scale invasion, Putin's attitude on the issue of nuclear weapons has been unclear. On the one hand, he said he did not need to use nuclear weapons to achieve his goals. On the other hand, last month, Russia conducted a tactical nuclear weapon exercise At the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Putin also said he may modify the theory of nuclear weapons. He described it as a living tool. Putin said Moscow is paying close attention to what is happening in the world. Kremlin did not rule out making any changes to this statement. Moscow Deputy World Economic and International Relations Research Institute Dmitry Terentiev also said it should modify the rules of nuclear weapons and announce that Russia can use nuclear weapons first. He added that this is because Moscow must convince Western countries that after the conflict between Russia and Russia, they will not be able to maintain a comfortable and satisfactory peace. The Director-General of the Nuclear Weapons Control Council Dmitry Terentiev said last month that in order to avoid a nuclear misjudgment, a dialogue between Russia and the United States on reducing the risk of nuclear weapons and military control must be restored. He believes that each country must continue to avoid the threat of a nuclear retaliation, avoid provocative nuclear exercises, and eliminate any actions that imitate Russia's countermeasures. Russia's threat of nuclear weapons has been surrounding this war and has influenced the United States and Western countries to provide military assistance to Ukraine but not to the subtle balance of the risk of conflict escalation.