【袁紅冰熱點】美國和中共暴政對人員傷亡的承受力那是完全不同的。中共暴政是視生命為草芥、以萬民為芻狗……那什麼才是中共習近平發動台海戰爭難以承受的戰爭損失……？

According to the German newspaper, the US military commander of the Indian Ocean Command, General Papalo, recently told the Washington Post on the Singapore Shangri-La Forum that the CCP is likely to launch a large-scale suppression attack on the Taiwan Strait without any warning. The US military has also devised a corresponding geopolitical strategy. It is said that General Papalo's remarks have attracted the attention of people from all walks of life Chinese reporter interviewed a well-known Australian jurist, Professor Yuan Hongbin, who often discloses the Chinese Communist Party's high-level internal affairs. Hello, Professor Yuan. Recently, the US military commander of the Indian Ocean Command, General Papalo, revealed to the public that once the CCP begins to attack Taiwan by force, the US military will use a series of secret weapons, including tens of thousands of drones and unmanned submarines, to fill the Taiwan Strait area, making the Taiwan Strait a hellish scenic spot. Do you think the US military's strategy will have a deterrent effect on the CCP? I don't think we can answer this question very simply. We need to look at it from a larger perspective in order to know if his statement is a deterrent to the CCP. Xi Jinping is pushing the whole world into a war. We can see that more and more politicians are beginning to see or approach this basic fact. At the same time, a consensus is also being formed internationally, which means that in the face of Xi Jinping's global expansion of communism, only strong forces can maintain peace. The CCP's war risk will be threatened with unbearable consequences, which may prevent Xi Jinping's will to fight. However, the strategic decision-makers of the US, Japan and Europe have not yet figured out a key issue. What are the unbearable consequences of Xi Jinping and the CCP's tyranny? As you just mentioned, the commander of the US Indo-Pacific War Zone was threatened by the US general. As long as the CCP launches a Taiwan Strait war, the US can use unmanned military aircraft and unmanned aircraft to create a so-called hellish scenic spot on the Taiwan Strait. What does this mean? This means that the US general obviously caused the casualties of major combatants as a basic trigger for the CCP. However, the US and the CCP's tyranny have completely different tolerances for casualties. As we all know, based on respect for human rights and life, all democratic countries, including the United States, are unable to bear the political and social consequences of large-scale casualties. The CCP's tyranny sees life as a straw and kills tens of thousands of people. Therefore, threatening the CCP with the casualties of combatants will not play a key role. As we all know, there was a well-known martial artist, Li Yi, who once said that in order to solve the Taiwan issue, the CCP could pay a price of 1.4 billion Chinese people's lives. Many people internationally think that Li Yi is talking nonsense, that it is a waste of time. However, a cold fact is that compared with Mao Zedong, the only man who witnessed the CCP's tyranny, Li Yi's view of the lives of Chinese people can only be regarded as a small house meeting a big house. There is a clear record in history. Mao Zedong once publicly declared at the Communist International Conference that the Soviet Union would issue nuclear weapons, the CCP would build 2,000 military or more, and the imperialist camp led by the United States would wage a decisive battle. Mao Zedong said that even if one-third or more of humanity is lost, as long as the victory of communism in the world is in exchange, it is also worth it. Fortunately, the leader of the Soviet Union at that time was called Khrushchev, not Mao Zedong. Humanity was spared a disaster. In modern times, Xi Jinping inherited Mao Zedong's political demon gene. So this U.S. general tried to threaten Xi Jinping with the so-called unbearable loss of personnel. Isn't that a bullfight? Now, from a broader perspective, the U.S. and other democratic countries have another fatal psychological misreading of Xi Jinping. They think that by imposing strong and powerful international economic sanctions and the threat of huge economic losses, they can prevent Xi Jinping from launching the Taiwan Strait War. However, another basic fact is that because of the CCP's tyranny, North Korea, Iran and Russia have formed a real strategic alliance. This strategic alliance has clearly made the U.S., Europe and other democratic countries their war opponents. So the U.S. and the EU have already imposed comprehensive economic sanctions on Russia for more than two years. But now it has not shown the effect of preventing Russian war will. And from this long-term forecast, it is also difficult to force Russia to surrender What's more, the CCP's tyranny now has the weight of the second largest economy in the world. So, just by imposing economic sanctions, it tries to change the nature and basic national policy That is basically impossible. It should be noted here that in the context of Xi Jinping's return to Mao Zedong's socialist background, the national policy center of the CCP's tyranny is no longer economic construction and people's livelihood. When Deng Xiaoping promoted it, In the era of Xi Jinping, the center of his national policy has been transferred from economic construction to the global expansion of communist totalitarianism. Deng Xiaoping's national policy centered on economic construction has been abolished by Xi Jinping. Now, those who think that the CCP's 20th General Assembly will make Xi Jinping's national policy return to the center of economic construction That is completely built on the fundamental misunderstanding of the current political logic of the CCP. At that time, Mao Zedong had the ability to obtain nuclear weapons, strategic missiles and nuclear submarines, as well as the establishment of the CCP's military industry foundation, and the implementation of unreasonable large-scale military operations. In the end, in the late 1950s, it caused the economic crisis of 40 million Chinese farmers to starve to death. And Xi Jinping is now in the name of the resurrected Mao Zedong ghost to look at the economic problem, to look at the people's livelihood. Therefore, the so-called economic sanctions and economic losses to prevent Xi Jinping's efforts to fight against the will of the people can only be in vain. Now there are some international understandings of the CCP's tyranny. At most, they can only reach the level of the so-called scholars and the people. They think that the CCP has astronomical U.S. national debt. If the CCP starts a war, these U.S. national debts will be confiscated by the United States. So Xi Jinping dare not start a war. So here we have to further discuss a problem. How will Xi Jinping think about this problem? According to the intelligence personnel of the Chinese Communist Party, after the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the Chinese Communist Party held a work meeting to strengthen the post-war mobilization of the province's military zone. Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, He Weidong, in a speech at this meeting, made an answer to the above question. The speech was recorded. He Weidong said that some people are worried about the sky. They think that because we have the U.S. national debt, we will surrender and give up fighting for unification. He Weidong said that for this point, President Xi Jinping has a generous answer. He Weidong told Xi Jinping that as long as we can win the war in the end, the U.S. will return a lot of our national debt, including interest. And we will definitely win. We must win. So He Weidong's speech is the basic attitude of the Xi Jinping authorities to the international community's economic sanctions. So let's talk about this. People will naturally ask a question. Since the loss of personnel and economic losses do not constitute a fundamental deterrent to the CCP's will to fight, then what is the CCP's tyranny and Xi Jinping's unbearable loss of war? For this question, the CCP's founding marshal, Lin Biao, had a simple and clear answer. Lin Biao said that if you get the regime, you get everything. If you lose the regime, you lose everything. Lin Biao's words can be said to be heavy words. That is, everything can be given up, except the regime. In other words, if the international community wants to effectively stop Xi Jinping's war adventure, it must be made clear that once the CCP launches the Taiwan Strait War, it will inevitably face the prospect of the CCP regime being completely destroyed. So, in order to stop Xi Jinping from pushing the world into war, the allies of the United States and other democratic countries need to formulate a large-scale strategy. The core content of this large-scale strategy is to clearly warn Xi Jinping that as long as the CCP's tyranny launches the Taiwan Strait War and takes a deadly step to promote the global expansion of communist totalitarianism, the international democratic countries will take comprehensive and effective comprehensive measures of political, military, economic, and diplomatic to ensure that the CCP's party and military invade Taiwan and thereby ensure the destruction of the CCP's tyranny and totalitarian regime. It is based on such a consideration that we think that so far, these politicians in the United States and Europe still lack a real understanding of the psychology of the dictator. Not long ago, the US Deputy Secretary of State Campbell publicly stated at the Stinson Center in Washington, D.C. that overthrowing the Beijing regime is not in the interests of the United States. As long as we send clear messages to the CCP, draw the red line, express concern, and coexist with Beijing as long as it does not harm the interests of the United States and allies. This is the attitude of the US Deputy Secretary of State towards the CCP's tyranny. This US Deputy Secretary of State is obviously blinded by the basic fact that Xi Jinping is pushing the world to war, and he has no idea how to stop the CCP's willingness to take risks in war. So even the US Deputy Secretary of State, who is in high power, has a psychological understanding of the dictator. This shows that the US strategic decision-makers urgently need to study the psychology of the dictator. Because it's very simple. If the fate of mankind in the future is led by these self-righteous and stupid people, instead of listening to wise politicians like Pompeo, then World War III will be the great disaster of mankind in the 21st century. According to Stinson, General Papaluo said during an interview with the Washington Post that he could not disclose the details of the geopolitical strategy for the time being, but emphasized that this is feasible in reality. What do you think? This US general is obviously a military expert, but he is not a political strategist. He is just judging the problem from the perspective of military technology, based on his military training and military knowledge he has. His knowledge is obviously not wide enough. We have mentioned a number of times. That was the beginning of the Cold War in the early 1950s. At that time, one of the greatest strategists in the world, Michael Arthur, judged that the CCP would not send troops to intervene in the Korean War. His judgment is that the CCP has no air force and no navy. Army equipment is just a light infantry equipment. There is no modern military skills and military equipment at all. So Michael Arthur judged that the CCP would not send troops. Is there a basis for Michael Arthur's judgment? Of course, there is a basis for his military training. There is a basis for military science. Just like today, the commander of the United States, this general, he proposed that as long as there is a scene of hell, the CCP will effectively stop the tyranny of the CCP. Does he have a basis? He also has a basis for military technology. But they don't understand the psychology of dictators at all. He made the same mistake as Michael Arthur. Why did dictator Mao Zedong send troops to North Korea? Because he doesn't care about the death of the Chinese army at all. Today's Xi Jinping will do the same. So under the circumstances of the CCP's guarantee of not caring about the loss of personnel at all, all the conclusions made by this U.S. general are groundless. There is no reliable basis. Another overseas media report, General Pablo recently talked about it in the interview with the Japanese news. The CCP may also choose to fully block the strategy of the Taiwan Island. Last month, after President Lai Qingde made his inauguration speech, General Pablo said, First of all, the CCP launched the Taiwan Strait War. What we just talked about is the perspective of military technology alone. From the perspective of personnel and economic sanctions, it is impossible to stop Xi Jinping's will to fight. This is one aspect of the problem. The other aspect of the problem is that if Xi Jinping launches the Taiwan Strait War, based on the background analysis of the current international situation, the CCP's guaranteed invasion will definitely fail. So these are two issues. In addition, the so-called comprehensive blockade. In my opinion, the CCP's combat attitude towards Taiwan's comprehensive blockade is unrealistic. The CCP will not do this. This is not just my judgment. This is the information reported by foreign officials within the CCP's system. Including Liu Yazhou at the time, he once pointed out that a comprehensive blockade of Taiwan is unacceptable. Because once the blockade of Taiwan is implemented, more than 70% of the economy in the world will be cut off. The economic lifeblood of Japan on the sea will also be cut off. This will inevitably cause a huge reaction from the whole world. So in this case, the CCP will not adopt a mode of blockade that will drag the war for a long time. So the CCP's invasion of Taiwan must be a comprehensive assault-style landing operation. The purpose is to destroy Taiwan's combat will in a short period of time. This is a combat attitude that the CCP is most likely to adopt. Of course, from another perspective, the CCP is also using this kind of military aircraft and warships to constantly disrupt the market. It is possible to make an illusion that it wants to blockade the war. Let the whole world relax. Once the CCP launches a war on the Taiwan Strait, it will inevitably be a large-scale sudden attack on the island. It is reported that the CCP's official media, the Global Times, made a response to Popolo's comments a few days later. CCP military expert Zhang Xuefeng claimed that with the current scientific and industrial production capacity of the United States, it is impossible to achieve the scale described by Popolo in three or four years. What do you think? The so-called experts of the Global Times, which reported to the CCP, are basically pseudo-experts. They are just a propaganda tool. Whether it is in military strategy or military technology, their analysis has no value that is worth our deep analysis. It is reported that President Lai Ching-de of Taiwan was interviewed by the Times on May 30. Recently, the Times published an exclusive interview. President Lai Ching-de said that Beijing should confirm the existence of the People's Republic of China and the fact that it does not belong to each other. The mainland media quoted the mainland experts as saying that Lai Ching-de's interview was a provocation. What do you think? In fact, everyone understands that the People's Republic of China and the People's Republic of China do not belong to each other. This is a basic fact of international politics. President Lai Ching-de just emphasized this fact. There is no provocation at all. In fact, from the overall historical development process, the CCP has always been the one to carry out war provocations and war threats. In this world, only the CCP has publicly declared that it does not give up using force to annex Taiwan. After Xi Jinping came to power, he showed that he wanted to realize his strategy of conquering Taiwan as soon as possible. He did not cover up his hostility to Taiwan. Now, the CCP's military aircraft and warships surround Taiwan every day to carry out armed provocations. So now the entire international community actually sees it very clearly. Only the CCP's war crimes provoke the international order of peace and the national security and sovereignty of Taiwan. This is a basic fact. The CCP's war crimes. Xi Jinping just wants to use force to change the current situation of peace in the Taiwan Strait to realize their basic strategy of global expansion of communist totalitarianism. This is a basic threat to the world peace and human security In addition, foreign media reported that a Russian warship fleet arrived in Cuba. It included a nuclear-powered submarine. Havana is less than 200 kilometers from the nearest US coast. Some analysts said that Russia's move was to warn the United States of the expansion of sanctions against Russia. It also showed that the US and Russia's confrontation has escalated. If the US and Russia's confrontation escalates, do you think this will give the CCP a chance to sink? For example, the CCP's actions in the Taiwan Strait. First of all, this is not an isolated incident. It is also not a solo performance of Russia's national will. Now the whole world is actually divided into a free and democratic camp and a comprehensive confrontation with the 21st century authoritarian camp led by the CCP. It's just that some Western politicians don't want to or dare not face such a fact for various reasons. The fact is that the CCP's tyranny and Russia and Iran and North Korea plus Pakistan and other ordinary countries have formed a strategic alliance. The purpose of this strategic alliance is to change the current international political order and economic order. It is to replace the alliance of the United States and democratic countries to become the legislator of the international law and the establisher of the international political and economic order. This is the basic attitude of the entire international politics at present. And this time, Russia's nuclear submarine appeared at the door of the United States. It is not a situation that Russia has issued in order to deal with the US economic sanctions alone. It is the core of the authoritarian national alliance led by the CCP. Once again, they show their will to wage a world war with the United States. This is what we just talked about. How can we stop this will of war now? That is, we must make Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party realize that as long as he dares to launch a Taiwan Strait war not only will his war behavior be damaged but the existence of the CCP's tyranny will also be completely destroyed. Only in this way can it be possible to stop the entire world from going to war.