Chuyên gia nhận định: 'Trung Nam Hải hỗn loạn trong tháng 5'

Đại Kỷ Nguyên - Bình luận
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Trong tháng 5 chính quyền Trung Quốc có nhiều hoạt động và giấu hiệu cho thấy đã có những thay đổi lớn trong nội bộ Trung Nam Hải. Chuyên gia chỉ ra nhịp độ làm việc của Trung Nam Hải đã bị gián đoạn, thậm chí cuộc tập trận quan trọng cũng bị trì hoãn. Ông Tập có vẻ đã có một tháng 5 bận rộn, xoay sở liên tục trước những khó khăn từ cả bên trong lẫn bên ngoài.
Nhà bình luận người Hoa cho hay, vào tháng 5 năm 2023, sau khi Bộ trưởng ngoại giao Tần Cương biến mất, sự hỗn loạn ở Trung Nam Hải không thể che giấu được nữa; một năm sau, sự hỗn loạn thậm chí còn lớn hơn đã bắt đầu.
Welcome to FBNC's May 12 Today's world news
Here are 10 things you need to know about South China Sea
In May, the Chinese government showed signs of major changes in the internal affairs of the South China Sea.
Experts pointed out that the working schedule of the South China Sea has been cut short, and even important exercises have been delayed.
Xi seems to have been busy for a month, constantly facing difficulties from both inside and outside.
The Chinese commentator said that in May 2023, after Minister of Foreign Affairs Tan Kuong disappeared, the chaos in the South China Sea could no longer be concealed.
A year later, the even bigger chaos began.
On May 22, Xi Jinping visited Shandong to test the Chinese Communist Party's media to delay the news for a day.
On May 23, Xi held a summit in Tainan, Shandong.
This time, he did not invite Prime Minister Li Keng and Deputy Prime Minister Ding Tiet-tung.
Unexpectedly, he invited the chairman of the National Committee of the China People's Political Conference, Wang Honing, to participate.
During Xi's visit from May to May 10, most of the members of the Chinese Politburo Committee were dismissed from Beijing.
The commentator said that the changes were very significant, and now there are new changes in the South China Sea.
Working hours may be cut short.
The death of the Iranian president has worried the top leaders of the Chinese Communist Party.
On May 19, Iran's President Raisi died in a plane crash. The accident is being investigated.
The Chinese Communist Party's media is eager to spread the news that the Iranian president was killed while on a helicopter manufactured by the US.
The poor maintenance of the plane due to the US sanctions is one of the reasons for the plane crash.
According to the Chinese commentator, the sudden death of the Iranian president at this time has not caused much confusion.
The Chinese Communist Party may not be willing to do that and is still trying to blow the fire.
Analysts believe that the situation in the Middle East has just calmed down and the possibility of assassinations from the outside is very small.
But the number of assassinations from the inside is relatively high.
Like any authoritarian regime, the Iranian government also has supporters.
The leader of the Iranian religion, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is the one in power.
And Raisi is just the second person who often stands in front of the stage.
The outside world is saying that Khamenei's rule time is not long and Raisi is likely to take over.
At this time, Raisi suddenly said that the successor must be re-elected.
Different parties have a chance to fight for the highest power.
The commentator pointed out that for the Chinese Communist Party, they are used to this,
as they have more supporters than any other ruling system.
In 2023, there was a widespread rumor that the leader of the Chinese Communist Party, Xi Jinping, was afraid of being assassinated or couped,
as in the books of Tianshi Thoi Boi Do or Thiet Ban Do.
In June 2023, Rigozin, the leader of Russia's Wagner conglomerate, launched a short-lived coup.
Two months later, he died in a plane crash.
Almost no one believes it was an accident.
On August 27, 2023, Xi Jinping returned to China after a visit to South Africa.
A special plane did not fly straight to Beijing, but followed it to Olomouc, Xinjiang,
and was said to have started a special flight back to Beijing.
The central commentator said that Xi's plane was afraid of being shot down by the Chinese Air Force's anti-aircraft gun.
Throughout 2023, Xi flew to Beijing to visit many places almost twice a month.
From May 5 to May 10, Xi visited France, Serbia, and Hungary.
During this time, Prime Minister Li Keqiang and other members of the Commission,
such as Zhao Lijian, Wang Huning, and Ding Tiet-tung,
were all deported to Beijing and visited many different places.
According to the central commentator,
this shows that Xi does not trust the other members of the Politburo
and is afraid they will cause trouble in the South China Sea when he is away.
Xi's fear comes before the death of the Iranian president.
The death of the Iranian president will anger the South China Sea even more.
On May 22, Xi visited the Japanese city of Chiyou, Shandong Province.
He once posted a message on Weibo before May 23.
The Chinese Communist Party leader did not allow the party's media to provide timely news.
The central commentator said,
Xi is clearly worried that more people will know about his whereabouts
and he is doing everything he can to prevent what happened to the Iranian president.
On May 23, Chinese Communist Party secretary-general Xi Jinping
held a summit with businessmen and experts in southern Shandong Province.
This time, Mr. Li Keung and Ding Tiet-tung did not attend.
Instead, the chairman of the National Committee of the People's Political Conference of China,
known as the Chinese Communist Party, Mr. Wang Huning, was present.
Mr. Tai Chi still visited Mr. Xi as usual.
On May 23, Mr. Li Keung, a member of the Chinese Politburo,
visited Hainan from May 22 to May 23.
Mr. Li Keung did not have any official mission that needed to be resolved
and his visit to Hainan was optional,
but he did not attend the summit hosted by Xi Jinping.
At two sessions of the Chinese Communist Party in March 2023,
Mr. Li Keung took over as prime minister but soon transferred power to the National Committee.
After that, he was invited to join Mr. Li Keung
in his visits to the summit in Hunan and Hubei.
Mr. Xi Jinping has visited many places and often holds summits.
Mr. Li Keung is often invited to attend.
According to a Chinese commentator,
the reputation of the second person in the Chinese Communist Party
has been lowered many times.
This has become a tradition.
This time, Mr. Xi broke this new tradition
and did not allow Mr. Li to attend the summit.
Prime Minister Li Keung could not decide
whether he should attend the summit or not.
If Mr. Li took the visit as an excuse
to refuse to attend the summit hosted by Xi Jinping,
he must have made a mistake on purpose.
Mr. Li will not dare to do this
and Xi Jinping will not allow this to happen.
According to a Chinese commentator,
Mr. Li Keung has nothing important to do,
but Xi Jinping does not need Mr. Li to attend the summit
and does not want Mr. Li to stay in Beijing.
Therefore, Mr. Li has been posted to visit Henan.
On May 10, a news outlet reported that
Zhao Laxie, a member of the Chinese Politburo,
the president of the National Assembly,
had visited Henan from May 7 to May 10.
Experts in the Central Plains pointed out that
it was unusual for two members of the Politburo
to visit the same province
at such a high level.
This reflects that the visit to Henan
by Prime Minister Li Keung
may just be a temporary arrangement.
Mr. Li cannot stay in the South China Sea
when Xi Jinping is not in Beijing.
The news outlet also reported that
Ding Tietuong, a member of the Chinese Politburo
and deputy prime minister of the National Assembly,
attended the China Investment and Industrial Cooperation Forum
in Xiamen on May 23.
Xi Jinping did not need Mr. Ding to attend the summit,
but Mr. Ding was also arranged to leave Beijing,
and his participation in activities in Xiamen
was just a matter of choice.
Another deputy prime minister of China,
Ha Lipfong,
still harassed Mr. Xi during his visit.
According to the Central Plains commentator,
Xi Jinping did not allow Mr. Li Keung
and Ding Tietuong to attend the summit
and arranged for them to leave Beijing,
once again expressing a warning to them.
The appearance of Mr. Wang Honing
at the economic summit
by Xi Jinping
was not intended to continue
the theory of economic light,
but now Mr. Tai Chi is publicly responsible.
According to the Central Plains commentator,
Mr. Wang Honing
was supposed to be responsible
for the unified front against Taiwan.
The Communist Party of China is pushing
the threat of intrusion and chaos
against Taiwan.
Xi can hope that Mr. Wang Honing
may be present,
so he also arranged for Mr. Wang to go with him.
This shows that the working schedule
of the Central Plains may be interrupted.
The working schedule of the Central Plains is interrupted.
The Central Plains commentator pointed out
that May 20 is a day
that the Communist Party of China
is closely monitoring.
There is a reason why the military threat
of the Communist Party of China to Taiwan
should be carried out on May 20,
or at least start on May 21.
However, the Chinese military
only announced the round-the-world exercise
around Taiwan on May 23.
The relevant plans of the Chinese military
have been ready for a long time,
but they may have been forced to postpone.
According to the military network of the Chinese government,
dozens of fighter jets
and many Chinese military destroyers
conducted exercises in the north,
south and east of Taiwan,
as well as around Kinmen Island,
Mato Island, Oukou Island
and Dongzhen Island.
Such large-scale development
must be handled by Xi Jinping
and the situation must be reported
at any time.
According to the Central Plains commentator,
if this exercise is postponed for two days,
it is possible that the Chinese military
has been waiting for Xi,
but the leader of the Communist Party of China
has too many problems to solve,
so it has to be postponed.
Similar exercises are being prepared
by the Chinese military.
Xi's personal observation
of the central control center in Beijing
On May 23, the Chinese military
announced an exercise,
but Xi had arrived in Jiaozhou,
Shandong province, on May 22.
Xi may also have information
about the special ship,
but no matter what,
he will also hold a summit
in Tainan on May 23.
This will affect his energy.
On May 20 and 21,
the leader of the Communist Party of China
has many things to solve
and the military exercise
can only be postponed.
Xi's visit to Shandong
on May 22
cannot be easily canceled.
The commentator pointed out
that the arrangement of large military exercises
of Beijing around Taiwan
and Xi's visit
is more like a conflict.
According to a Chinese expert,
the plane crash of President Iran
on May 19 had the greatest impact
on the South China Sea.
This not only broke the plan
of the Communist Party of China
to create more trouble in the Middle East,
but also made Xi extremely worried
about his own safety.
In addition, the internal chaos
in the Chinese military
has not really subsided.
The South China Sea may have temporarily
conducted a large-scale investigation
to eliminate potential risks,
including a larger-scale
especially for the military,
to ensure safety.
It is reasonable
to postpone the exercise
throughout Taiwan.
On May 23,
Li Qiang and Ding Tietuong
could not attend the conference
organized by Xi
for the same reasons.
The dangers lurking inside
are what the leaders
of the Communist Party of China
care about most
and consume the most energy,
but still have to carry out
a series of external actions.
However, by chance,
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi
came to Central Asia on May 18,
for the first time to visit Tajikistan.
On May 20,
he came to Kazakhstan
to attend the meeting
of the foreign ministers
of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization,
including bilateral meetings
with foreign ministers of different countries.
On May 21,
Wang Yi had to attend
the meeting of the foreign ministers
before meeting Iranian Foreign Minister
Mehdi Shafari.
According to the Central Committee,
this is not like an interaction
between old friends.
Wang Yi has a series of foreign activities
in Central Asia,
which is difficult to follow
the orders of Xi,
and Wang's leadership
of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
is not as smooth as in Beijing.
After he passed away,
Wang Yi took on two roles
and could not take on both
at important times.
The Chinese government has slowed down
in identifying a new foreign minister
and is now suffering the consequences.
Xi Jinping came to Europe
in early May
and met President Putin
on May 16.
Wang Yi has always been with Xi,
but since May 18,
Wang has attended meetings
and conferences
in a diplomatic way.
Xi may not have fully controlled
the South China Sea,
others in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
could not get the trust of Xi.
However, many foreign issues
can no longer be resolved,
everything can be chaotic,
and military exercises around Taiwan
may have to be postponed.
The South China Sea dropped a gun.
On May 19,
Beijing announced an investigation
into the Chinese Communist Party
into the import of polymeric polyfocaldehyde
from the European Union,
the United States, Taiwan and Japan.
Western countries are concerned
about the ability to hold out
caused by the Chinese Communist Party.
Beijing refused to comply
and finally chose to react
in a restrictive way.
Therefore, they carried out
this investigation
and deliberately put the EU at the top.
According to the Central Committee,
this reflects the trip to Europe
of the Chinese Communist Party
did not go as expected.
According to the Chinese government,
the import of polymeric polyoxymethylene
accounts for more than 50%
of total production,
can replace a part of metal
and is used in many fields.
Beijing stated that
the investigation must end
before May 19, 2025
and may last another six months
in special cases.
The Chinese Communist Party
has taken a step forward
but the attitude of this regime
may increase conflict.
The EU may not import
products from China,
especially if the EU
cannot accept military aid
from the Chinese Communist Party
to Russia,
while the regime
denies its violations.
On May 20,
Beijing announced
that it would add
the U.S.-based
Space and Security Defense
Corporation to the list
of unreliable entities
and double the amount
of money
of the arms sales contract
to Taiwan.
According to the Central Committee,
the announcement
is just a political gesture
expressed by China
The company said
it did not cooperate
with the Chinese Communist Party
and did not pay attention
to the so-called sanctions
imposed by the regime.
On May 20,
the Chinese government
also issued another statement
stating that
General Atomic Aeronautics System
and General Dynamics Land System
of the United States,
companies related to
arms sales to Taiwan
will be included
in the list of
unreliable entities.
Chinese companies
are also required
to strengthen
management and trade
with U.S. companies.
According to the Central Committee,
everything was prepared
in advance
until May 20.
On May 21,
Beijing also announced
sanctions on Mike Gallagher,
a former member
of the U.S. Congress,
which can be seen as a joke.
On May 22,
the Chinese Foreign Ministry
announced that it would block
the assets of 12 U.S. military
industrial companies in China
and would not issue visas
or allow entry.
Of course,
this action will have to wait
until the last words
of the Chinese Communist Party
leader Xi Jinping
and related departments
are expected to be busy
throughout the night.
The Central Committee
pointed out that
the Chinese Communist Party
has fired a series of guns
from the outside
basically just to make noise
and color the inside.
However,
they cannot resist
the new tariffs
announced by the United States
against China
and forced to reduce the tariffs.
On May 23,
Xi Jinping held a subject meeting
in Tainan, Shandong Province.
He continued to repeat
the same nonsense
like modernizing China
but did not mention
the production of new materials.
The South China Sea
is facing
some sudden changes
both in and out of the country.
The schedule of work
has been arranged
but was interrupted.
The leader of the Chinese Communist Party
is increasingly losing
the trust of the people.
The state of affairs
of the five officials
is also a major issue.
The Central Committee
said in May 2023
that the chaos
in the South China Sea
could not be hidden anymore.
A year later,
the chaos has begun.
