俄羅斯的戰爭優勢正迅速縮小

The Russian army is attacking the military base in the western part of Russia. The Russian air defense system is just a decoration. Russia's war advantage is shrinking rapidly. Putin received a series of bad news. Hello everyone, welcome to the New Cold War. I'm Liu Yansheng. Today is April 29, 2024, the 796th day of the Russian-Ukrainian war. On April 28, Ukraine continued to launch missiles and drones to attack areas such as Buryansk, Belgorod, and Bilyansk in Russia. Unlike the Ukrainian residential areas and infrastructure, Ukraine has maintained control and only launched attacks on Russian military targets. Among them, the oil facilities provide fuel for the Russian military, so it has become a reasonable target. On April 27, in the Krasnodar region of Russia, the Slavyansk EKO oil refinery and the Isk oil refinery were attacked by drones. In addition, a lignite plant in the area was also hit hard. Shortly after, the oil refinery in Lavyansk-Kubani was also attacked. The site caught fire at random, but there was no large-scale explosion. The local governor publicly responded to this, but denied that the oil refinery was hit hard and claimed that 10 drones were shot down. In addition, in the Kaluga region in southwestern Russia, a tourist facility near the city of Lviv was also attacked by Ukrainian drones. The Russian Defense Ministry claimed that it successfully repelled the unarmed attack and destroyed 17 drones. So far, Ukraine has hit 13 large Russian oil refineries. Some of them have been severely damaged. According to foreign assessments, this series of operations has reduced Russia's oil export revenue by 56%, but Russia only admitted that it has dropped by 20%. No matter how much, the attacks launched by Ukraine are almost endless. In contrast, the number of Russian oil refineries is insignificant. In order to prevent Ukrainian drones from hitting, Russia not only added shells to the tanks, but also added frames to the tourist facilities in the area, hoping to reduce losses. However, high-speed drones will still cause damage to the oil refinery, especially for facilities that can explode at a glance. This may cause a fire or an explosion. The latest disclosure of open source intelligence technology also shows that on the night of April 27, the Russian military successfully attacked the Kursk-Kyiv Air Force Base in the Krasnodar border area of Russia. According to sources, the drone hit the airspace of the base's airport, causing damage to the Russian military aircraft in the base. A large number of Chinese bombs were scattered all over the place. In the previous battle, the Russian military had repeatedly used Chinese bombs to attack the Russian military. This time, the Russian military was a little late. The report of the General Intelligence Bureau also pointed out that they carried out rapid special operations in the Russian core area. On the night of April 26, 2024, a multi-purpose Ka-32 helicopter was destroyed This airport is not an ordinary airport. It is operated jointly by the Russian Ministry of Defense and the Russian Natural Gas Industry Shares Company on the Russian Defense Ministry's asset list. Like other military bases, Ostrofeyevo is home to dozens, even hundreds of Russian military personnel. However, even so, it did not stop the Russian military from attacking. It should be noted that on April 17, the Russian military burned a Russian Mi-8 helicopter The method is almost the same. The General Intelligence Bureau said that they will not tolerate Russian aggression. Even at the safest base, they will not let them go. This time, the frequently beaten Russians can't stand it either. The Russian Defense Ministry announced on the 28th that they are about to launch the S-500 Prometheus air defense system, which they have been developing since 2002. The Kremlin said, this system has the ability to drop rapid-fire missiles and can accurately hit targets 600 kilometers away. However, some people pointed out that considering the previous S-300 and S-400 did not perform well in combat, many people have doubts about the performance of the S-500. Ukrainian military experts even said that the S-500 is just imitating the U.S. Patriot System, which has been behind in technology for at least 40 years. Before that, the aid in the western Ukraine was about to run out. When the troops were exhausted and trying to regroup, Russia used its firepower and manpower to successfully stop the retreat of the Ukrainian Eastern Communist Party, and advanced slightly on the front line. This changed Putin's mood due to the unfavorable situation in the war. In recent months, Putin also seemed to be very confident and happy. During this time, the Ukrainians took the initiative to adopt a defensive strategy. They are securing their strength and waiting for a turn. When the large-scale troops of the West arrive, the situation will turn quickly. A Western defense official commented on the X platform that although Russia may make some small tactical breakthroughs in the aid window period, but it cannot be denied that the Russian military is still a weak and inefficient army. He pointed out that the Russian military is not only well-equipped, but also more helpless. After the troops were mobilized, they were sent to the Ukrainian front line and there was not enough training. This shows how the overall strength of the Russian military is. In addition, due to the extremely high casualties and the serious lack of officers, the Russian military has the advantage of victory. According to ISW, the loss ratio of Russian troops is 6-1 to 7-1. The assessment data released by the British Ministry of Defense shows that by the end of March, the Russian military had nearly 470,000 people injured or injured in the war, which increased the pressure on the reinforcements. According to the report of the Russian Ministry of Defense, 200,000 rubles base salary, which is five times the average salary of some poor regions, and a bonus of 300,000 rubles to 1 million rubles. But this method of buying money and life is not always effective. And even if Russia can recruit more people, it is not enough to make up for their lack of training. On the battlefield, Russia has always tried to suppress Ukraine instead of relying on quality. Every time Russia strikes Ukraine, it fires one shell at Ukraine and five shells at Russia. The ratio is even higher which also shows the low efficiency of Russian battlefield attacks. In addition, although Russia's defense spending this year set a record of $11.4 billion, accounting for 6% of the total domestic production, and last November there was news that the Russian-made artillery and multiple rocket systems were 2.5 times more than before. At the same time, the production of a certain type of ammunition increased by more than 60 times. But the outside world believes that Russia's efforts cannot change the situation because only using more advanced weapons can change the key to The Western sanctions are also making it difficult for Russia to obtain the weapons it needs, such as drones, missiles, guided missiles, and high-precision missiles. This forces Russia to produce large-scale low-tech weapons. More low-tech weapons were also such as high-damage Chinese bombs and new Soviet weapons, as well as Chinese motorcycles and cruisers. The outside world also found that even if Russia invested 6% of its current GDP, 6 times to 36%, which is more than one-third of its GDP, Russia's ammunition size could not exceed 2-3 degrees in 2022. At that time, Russia's fierce firepower was due to Russia's 20-year military accumulation and the former Soviet arsenal. Western intelligence has confirmed that more than 60% of the Russian-made weapons have been used up, and Russia's fragile military system is unable to supply the ammunition needed by the front line. On April 28, more good news for Ukraine made Putin's mood frosty again. It is reported that Australia announced that it would deliver $100 million worth of weapons and military equipment to Ukraine, including drones and air defense equipment, once again showing its support for Ukraine. Ukraine's Defense Ministry said that Denmark will purchase weapons directly from Ukrainian manufacturers at the price of 200 million Danish kroner. Ukraine's Energy Ministry announced that Ukraine will receive more than 100 powerful generators from Japan. Ukraine will also receive 12-gauge T-155 Fertina from Turkey and 155mm artillery shells. In addition, the United States is also pursuing similar negotiations with Greece, hoping that Greece will be able to provide 75,000 types of artillery shells. Canadian Defense Minister Brian Brown announced that Canada will donate $3 million to Ukraine's domestic drone production, and donate about $13 million to the Czech-led project. In addition, the New York Times reported that the U.S. government purchased a total of 81 recovery aircraft including Soviet aircraft, such as the MiG-29 fighter and the Su-24 bomber, and the MiG-27 bomber that does not belong to the Ukrainian Air Force. Analysts pointed out that these aircraft may have two purposes. One is to be used as bait to lure Russian missiles and consume Russian equipment. The other is to be used as equipment donation. Therefore, the MiG-29 fighter and the Su-24 bomber provide zero backup. That's all for today. I'm Yuan Shan. See you next time.