【最新上傳火爆版】羅家聰:中企急囤美金?樓債燒到金融 老拜登勇武貿易戰 KO習冇招架力?習大救爛尾樓 越救越衰 #Lucy連線

《看中國》香港頻道
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310 次觀看·2024年4月19日
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Surrounded, there is not much silence
No matter what the US does, this matter must be dealt with
The US Secretary of State is still in the room at night
Dr, you have said twice on our channel
He signed a letter of threat to the CCP
When he returned to the US, he kept talking about China's disaster
He talked for a whole week
Now everyone is speculating whether the Sino-US trade war is going to start
Is it going to start? Because the US Trade Representative
Should start the war
Because before he returned, his statement had already changed
When he first landed, he was very polite
He thought he would talk when he arrived
But in fact, when he left, he had already changed his mind
Because I think the US has already predicted
It is expected that the mainland will be able to support
If you can support
He has to go through the procedure
The so-called procedure is called
He has to do a lot of things
For example, if he comes to talk to you
Don't say he hasn't talked to you
He has come to talk to you
He has invited you to talk to him
After the talk, you don't want to
Then he may have prepared a set of things
You are good, the evidence is good
Then he will go to work
Of course, these things may also be taken by the WTO
There are news reports that have been said
And he is now at the level of Daqi
Has been handed over to the technical officials to do things
In fact, it should be action
If you look at it from this point of view
The signal on the mainland is very clear
Because these days you see
There are some foreign spokesmen coming out
Is to criticize back
If you criticize back, you don't plan to punish
If you don't plan to punish, don't move
In fact, I think
This time the U.S. cut a knife
This is inevitable
But how big the knife is
It seems to be in the field of the past
It's not the first time that the miners have been taxed
I think it's easier to deal with
Because the U.S. has done it before
You have been beaten by him
But if the first knife is cut
The family may not have a statement
Because the reaction is not ideal
I believe there are still second and third knives
If you come again
If he goes down to some really important areas
He is now playing cards
It will be relatively difficult for you to pay the price
And I guess
In fact, this may also be a bit targeted
Because, for example, Tesla went to the mainland to produce
After making it, it was sold at a low price
In fact, some American senior officials
It doesn't look good
If a U.S. company goes over there
It's like a finger biting
So if you work in the field of electric vehicles
You can see that Tesla's stock price has dropped by half
From beginning to end
This is obviously the U.S.
I think it's not just targeting China
Also targeting this type of company
There was a trade war before
The U.S. fought alone against the CCP
Now I really see the U.S. and the Western camp
It seems to be united
Will this fight feel like
You are right, he learned
Because last time Trump did it himself
Because Trump didn't just hit China
All of them
Trump's method at the time was the same as now
In short, the surrounding enemies are also enemies
But now you see Biden is a little smarter
He is pulling other Western friends together
Even some friends in Asia who belong to the West
Pulled together
It's really a siege
Surrounding you
There is not much left
Let him circle around
So if you fight like this
The effect will be a bit different from that year
If you say
Fight alone
A vs B
Of course there is also CDEFG
There are many countries like this
Can be cut off by you
Through the third party
Exit
At most the cost is higher
But if you surround
Basically buy the market
When it is monopolized by the U.S. or U.S. friends
Then it's hard for you to face
I don't know where your stuff is
So you really can't get out
So the CCP doesn't know how to bargain
There was a message in the news last week
There is nothing to bargain about
Now the only thing he wants you to do
Don't negotiate
I think it's the amount
You have to restrict
Otherwise, you have to adjust the price
Adjust it, it's like
What is it? Tax
It's his tax
If you adjust the price yourself
You take it yourself
But
In either case
In fact, the amount of export is reduced
It's up to you to control
Just press the amount
Or by price
Either raise or lower the tax
Or you sell it yourself
The motive is also very clear
The U.S. in the general election
Even he has to protect his dignity
You can see it yourself
It's starting to get a little sticky
To protect or even stimulate
This is not just the U.S. election
You know this year is the election
Many Western countries are also elected this year
Since everyone is four-letter
When it comes to elections
Let's work together
This is relatively easy to talk about
So everyone is on the same line
For the CCP
It's bad news
Especially
Don't be so happy
It's bad news for them
It may not be good
First, the global inflation will return
Because
If he really reduces the amount
Or raise the price or lower the tax
In fact, if you do this
It's not good for you
The West has to face the inflation pressure
This is the first
Second, he is already poor
If you force him to jump off the wall
He is like a Russian
You don't know what he is doing
For the time being
It's rational
You force him
When he does something out of control
In fact, it's also bad
I think he is now
As far as possible
In the field of national security
Some targeted
Items to do things
If you really
Like Trump
Do it all over
I don't know if Trump will play his old game
If he alone
The mainland is not afraid of him
But if you pull the West
Do it all over
I don't think the rest of the West will follow
Even if the United States
Do it all over
There are political obstacles
Even if he can do it
The mainland's reaction is very big
You don't know what he is doing
A lot of things are more difficult
For me
I don't think everyone in the world has any benefits
You can also see
Now it seems that the mainland wants to push
A nationwide company to acquire South American properties
So now
Xi Jinping said that the number of years is still changing
At that time, China also had some
Economic policy
Still changing
Forcing to tear down the property
Give some new
I don't know if it's new
If you build it well, give it to others
But if you don't build it well
I don't know how to communicate
This is a bit of a headache
Now there are many
Developers have no money
A lot of reasons
Can't pay
Even if you build a lot
How do you live
Now the whole
You have to collect
Not so fast
Began to aspire to do this
What kind of insurance
But even if I let you do it
It's okay to tear it down
First
There are really a lot of vacancies
Unless you really tear down enough properties
So that's about
The vacancy can be
A little bit
Your vacancy may be
Counted by double
More than 100 million people may have 300 million
I don't know how much to tear down
Second
This way
The house must be down
Because if you talk about what
Security
That is, Hong Kong's public housing
Or cheap
Throw it out
First of all, the amount is large
If the amount is large, the price must be bad
When the price is not good
I don't think
You can handle the property market
Other areas can handle
Everyone's house
If it falls like this, the wealth will shrink
Assets will evaporate
As a result, it is poor
A big poor
Equivalent to 1997
The problem of negative assets
Then you have this
Our experience in Hong Kong
You can see that there are a few years
So
In his case
It won't work for a few more years
But his house is much bigger than Hong Kong
So
It may take a while
How to look at
Chinese enterprises
Collecting US dollars
They are worried that the people will be depreciated
If the amount is so large
Collecting US dollars
What impact will it have on Chinese people?
He didn't collect US dollars
In case
Really need
Depreciation pressure
Hello, Dr.
Yes
Bankers are worried
Morgan Stanley, an American investor
He has invested in the Asia-Pacific region
To fire 50 bankers
In fact, Hong Kong and China
Occupied 80%
Why did China and Hong Kong
Occupy so much?
And what does this fire mean?
Such a big bank
If you fire a few dozen people
To be honest
I don't know
But
In Hong Kong
You can see
Many people say business is not good
It's the same as the business world
Naturally
Banks are serving the business community
Actually business will not be good
May be worse in mainland
From the perspective of US
For example, China and Hong Kong
Doing business
Of course, if there is no business, they will make trouble
Especially those from the US
The whole department is going to kill you if you are not careful
If you are a wise person, you might be a little bit scared
In this environment, you can see that the United States is also starting to have a big economic period
People are starting to move. In fact, Hong Kong, especially if there is no business
I don't think it's strange that there are dozens of people moving
Also, for the time being, you can see that it is only moving in April
It seems that it has passed the end of March and got a red
The approach may be a bit more appropriate
And now in this situation, usually you know that after getting a red, you will turn to work
It may not be very difficult to find it again
The unemployment rate is not too high for the time being, it is still low
But you have to look at the environment
In this environment, when everyone is doing their job
Even if you can find it, you may not be able to find it in Hong Kong, you may have to go a little further
The U.S. State Department has set up a list of Chinese stocks that have not been listed
I also know that the U.S. has placed more than 100 or 200 Chinese companies
On the list of names
Now I see that the members of the U.S. Nationalist Party
Also from the Executive Directorate of the Securities and Stock Exchange
Asking them why Chinese companies
Chinese official companies can still be listed in the U.S.
Now they are chasing it
They have to face it, or Trump will become a tyrant
How does the situation look like when Chinese stocks are listed in the U.S.?
I think this is also very correct
Because in fact, it was said a few years ago that the U.S. companies were forced to leave
When the U.S. stock market kept rising
In fact, there are really a lot of Chinese companies who came to the U.S.
In this process, no matter what you say, how much money did you get?
It depends on which one you are
If you say those in the mainland
In the U.S., there is no excuse to drive you away
If you do some general business, retail
You can get a number or a result
But if you say those who are relatively sensitive
Especially those who have tried some technology or high-tech
Communication, especially these
Then they will be put in a corner
Because now it is obvious that it is a blockade
If it is a blockade, it will be a whole line of blockade
If it is a whole line of blockade, you will naturally go up to the market to draw water
It should be done
Of course, if some so-called sensitive areas
It's not convenient for you in the mainland
Or don't want to give so much information to the U.S.
I don't think it's just the U.S.
Many Western systems are also expensive
You have to hand over the whole set
Secretly
If you don't want to take it out
When you don't want to take it out, you just leave
If you don't leave, it's not very effective to stay here
In the end, it may not necessarily have a very good ending
For example, you have some people who are now in the market
When your fund or other investors are really worried about this risk
Won't sit for a long time
Or the number of shares will not be large
Then your stock price will be suppressed
In fact, even if the procedure is not in place
It's obvious that you have to leave
If you already have a list on the net
In fact, the impact on the stock price
The impact on your ability to invest has already appeared
So yes
Now we can see that some official enterprises in China
Have fallen by 21%, down by more than 20%
In fact, they also said before
These Chinese stocks will be listed in Hong Kong
In fact, if they are listed in Hong Kong now
You don't think the prospects will be too good, right?
Because the IPO magazines in Hong Kong, etc. are relatively bad
Very bad, very bad
If you come back to Hong Kong now
I think the effect is not very big, to be honest
In Hong Kong's market, if the price doesn't go up
What will you do?
You come here, everyone will not necessarily buy
If everyone doesn't buy
You can see that there are a lot of IPOs in the past
In fact, it's not enough to come here
There are really few IPOs
Even the people next to you have come here
In this case
I don't think it has any practical effect
It's just that you were forced to leave
Then you fell to the ground and picked up a bunch of sand and came back
It's called having a position
That's why
Everyone can see that the market in Hong Kong
The market is actually very bad
Compared to 2007 or 2018
More than 30,000 points
Only half
The whole market
If your stock market is only half
In fact, the market value is only half
When it's only half
Many markets have conditions, have funds
Those have been put in, have been locked
I can't see
It's so easy to have some new funds
Or a large amount can be collected
In fact, it doesn't make much sense to go to the market
You just said
International financial institutions
In order to expand China's state-owned banks
The credit rating expansion
Must be adjusted for stability
What does this mean?
In terms of financial risks to China
Financial institutions never need to be too
Observe their views
Because
They have always been behind the scenes
After the tsunami
Everyone knows
Unless
Western companies
Really have to look at the rating
But
Those in mainland China don't do that
So
The western rating of the mainland bank
In fact, it doesn't make much sense
You adjust it to negative
Then find some
Find your own rating
But
In this way
It is also possible
To see the mainland
That is
The problem of real estate debt
Begins to spread to the financial sector
This is also expected
Because you have been
In series
So far
Although you say
The news is not so frequent
But
The recent data reflects
You say
The price of real estate
Or the sales of real estate
It can be seen that there is really
Big changes
In fact, it is getting worse
So I think
In a situation that is getting worse
You can only believe
That the matter
Has not yet resolved
It's not enough
When it hasn't resolved
It will spread to the financial sector
There is a big chance
