歷史性時刻：瑞典正式加入北約瑞典軍力有多強大？為什麽說俄羅斯贏了阿夫迪夫卡，卻輸了全局？

March 7, 2024, was a historic day. After two years of long and arduous negotiations, Sweden officially joined NATO, ended its 200-year-long neutrality and military non-alliance policy, and became the 32nd member state of NATO. This makes NATO more powerful than ever before. This is also great news for Ukraine, because Sweden may help Ukraine win the war. This kind of war may be more suitable for Ukraine than F-16. So the question is, what impact will Sweden's joining NATO have on all parties? How strong is Sweden's military, and what does it mean for Russia and Ukraine? Hello everyone, welcome to the New Cold War. I'm Lin Mianshan. Today, I want to talk to you about the chain effect of Sweden's official joining NATO from the two sides of geopolitics and military. Let's take a look at how strong Sweden's military is, and how likely it is that it will help Ukraine win the war. Finally, I will do a detailed analysis on why Russia seems to have won the war in Afghanistan, but is actually destined to lose the whole war. Before the show starts, please like, comment, or share this show, and watch to the end. This will help the channel grow and spread. Thank you for watching. It can be said that Sweden and Finland have been the most important expansion of NATO in decades. For Putin, who is trying to prevent NATO's strengthening, it is undoubtedly a heavy blow. What aspects do Sweden and Finland's joining NATO represent in terms of Russia's threat? To sum up, there are mainly the following aspects. 1. The strategic geographical position of Sweden and Finland is a key and significant addition to NATO. According to experts, it is the last piece of the NATO-NATO map. In 1939, Finland was forced to give up 11% of its territory to Moscow during the French-Swedish Winter War. After the partition, Finland and Russia shared a 1340-kilometer border. But as Finland joined NATO, the border between Russia and NATO greatly increased. Before this, Russia had very few troops on the Russian-Finnish border. But now it's different. In order to deal with this change, Putin was forced to sign a presidential decree on February 26 to adjust the number of troops. He divided the western military zone that covered both Russia and Europe into the Moscow military zone and the Leningrad military zone. The restoration of the existing military zone and the northern fleet, which was originally designated as an independent military zone, were also included in the Leningrad military zone. Putin also planned to increase the total number of Russian troops from the existing 1.15 million to 1.5 million in three years. This undoubtedly greatly increased the financial expenses. How much money would it cost to keep so many troops? It's hard to tell. One of the biggest changes brought about by Sweden joining NATO was that the Baltic Sea changed the interior of NATO. This made NATO's power in the Baltic Sea and the North Sea significantly stronger. This provided stronger protection for the front-line countries of Russia, Finland, Norway and the Baltic Sea. Now, apart from Russia, all the countries along the Baltic Sea have joined NATO. Russia has been completely isolated here. Sweden's geographical position allows it not only to contain the Baltic Sea but also to strengthen the road transport channels between Norway and Finland. In addition, as you know, the Russian-Polish naval fleet is stationed between Poland and Lithuania's Kaliningrad. It's only about 320 kilometers from NATO. It's also about the same distance from the location where the Iskander missile is deployed. NATO's military planners have been worried that if Russia takes Kaliningrad and the 64-kilometer-long Suwałki Corridor between Belarus and Poland, it will be a big problem for the support of the Polish-Polish countries. But Sweden's position across the North Sea and the Baltic Sea will make it easier for NATO to send reinforcements from the sea. Second, the Baltic Sea Fleet has basically been abolished. The Russian-Polish Fleet Headquarters is located in Kaliningrad, the African continent of Europe. The fleet is based on St. Petersburg's Kalanstad and Bratislava. Although during the Soviet-Finnish War, the Soviets cut off Finland's Finland Bay to ensure Kalanstad's fleet's access, Finland's Åland Islands can still block the Baltic Sea Fleet. In addition, the two main bases of the Russian-Polish Fleet are located in the center of the Baltic Sea, facing the Swedish-Gothic Island of Bratislava. It is very likely that the two countries will be directly cut into two separate fleets that cannot defend each other during the war. Russia, of course, still has land-based missiles, but its nuclear submarines may find that it is much more difficult to enter the Baltic Sea silently. This is undoubtedly a major geopolitical setback for the Kremlin. If necessary, NATO can completely block the Baltic Sea and prevent Russian ships from entering the Atlantic Ocean through the Baltic Sea. In other words, the Baltic Sea exit port, which has been important to Russia since the Peter the Great era, will be closed again in 300 years. After the Baltic Sea became NATO, Kaliningrad and St. Petersburg along the Baltic Sea have lost their strategic significance. The Baltic Sea exit port is Russia's thousand-year dream. Now it's time to go back to a thousand years ago. 3. The strong military power of Sweden will greatly strengthen NATO's military power. Sweden's most famous military industry was led by the military giant Saab Group. The four-generation fighter jet JAS-39 Eagle was built by Saab. In the international arms market, it was a typhoon co-developed by France, England and Germany, and became the European Three Bears. According to the analysis of the US war zone website, Sweden's fighter jet is very suitable for Ukraine. The Eagle is lighter and smaller than the F-16, and the cost of maintenance is lower. In the design process, it is well considered for the efficiency and reliability of the first-class. It can be repaired at the battlefield airport by low-level personnel who lack experience, and it can also take off on the highway. The biggest killer of this fighter jet is the popular Super 40 air-to-air missile provided by the European missile group. If the Super 40 air-to-air missile is packed with the fighter jet and handed over to Ukraine, the Super 40 air-to-air missile is expected to be the most powerful long-range air-to-air weapon of the latter. In the face of the Russian Air Force at the top of the military power, the advantage of the Super 40 air-to-air missile is very large. It comes from its compressed jet engine. Under the same external conditions, the Super 40 air-to-air missile is more difficult to get rid of by the opponent. More importantly, this missile can theoretically hit a target of 150 kilometers away, allowing Ukrainian pilots to hide longer and stay away from the Russian ground air-to-air missiles. At the same time, it continues to threaten the Russian air targets. In the future, Sweden may provide Ukraine with 16 to 18 jets, all of which are JAS-39CD, which can fly in Ukraine's airspace as soon as this summer. Now, with Sweden joining NATO, Sweden is no longer fighting alone on defense security, and there is less concern about consequences. The pace of the British entering Ukraine will inevitably accelerate. In fact, Ukrainian pilots have begun testing the Saab JAS-39 British aircraft and have received relevant training. Let's leave the original words here. By then, if the British fighter jet enters Ukraine with the F-16 first, don't be too alarmed. In addition, the M-LOW anti-tank missile, which has made great strides in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, was actually jointly developed by the UK and Sweden. Sweden recently assisted the Ukrainian archer with a 155mm self-propelled artillery, which is also known as the king of the rate of fire in the car bomb. Why do you say that Russia seems to have won a part of the battlefield, but has actually lost the whole war? That is to say, Russia seems to have won, but in fact it has not. Attention, this is not a spiritual victory law. I will try to explain my point of view from the following aspects. If there are any imperfections, please add to them. 1. Russia has suffered heavy losses in Afghanistan. Every inch of land was exchanged for the lives of Russian soldiers. It's hard to say if it can be kept after the situation turns around. 2. After the UK, Germany and France and Denmark have signed a ten-year security agreement with Ukraine. There are already three alliances that assist Ukraine. There is the maritime alliance led by the UK, the F-16 alliance that provides the F-16 fighter jets and training for Ukraine, and the air defense alliance led by Germany and France. European countries are more compelled to assist Ukraine. 3. Poland will receive 13.7 billion euros in funding from the EU. On Feb. 23, President von der Leyen of the European Commission announced that Poland would receive 13.7 billion euros in funding. Why would Poland receive such a huge amount of funding? Why at this time? In fact, the real purpose is simple. It is to defend against Russia. After the recent Russian military victory, the European countries are urgently preparing for military confrontation with Russia in the future. If Ukraine is a frontline battlefield, then Poland is the bridgehead of Europe. If Europe wants to defend against Russia, it must first arm Poland. Poland's budget for military and military modernization this year exceeded 3%, plus the Armed Forces Support Fund, which exceeded 4%. In all the countries of North America, the military spending accounts for the highest proportion of GDP, even exceeding that of the United States. Fourth, France has become an anti-Russian advance. It wants to be the leader of Europe. Macron was criticized for being too weak against Russia in the early days of the Russian-Ukrainian war, but now he has become one of the most unspoken supporters of the U.S. France has provided the U.S. with self-propelled howitzers, Skype long-range air-to-ground missiles and other key equipment, and is also preparing to send troops to Ukraine. Macron is also expected to visit Ukraine in mid-March. Before that, on February 25, he had already introduced the idea of a two-thousand fighter jet, and conducted multiple talks. France plans to provide Ukraine with 13 two-thousand C-class fighter jets that have been eliminated. Macron believes that what Ukraine urgently needs at present is a weapon that can fight Russia from a distance, a weapon that can fight Russia's local rear and supply lines, to take the initiative to create for the Ukrainian battlefield. Finally, the death of Navalny caused a great stir in the West. Although this incident was a coincidence, the U.S. did not buy into it. Biden even introduced 500 new sanctions against Russia. This also made the West more distrustful of Russia. Russia has actually become an international spy. Combining the above five points, Russia won over Afghanistan. On the surface, it won. In fact, it lost. The more advantage Russia gains on the battlefield, the more the international community is afraid of it, the more they hate it, the more they detest it. One more thing to be sure of. As Russia progresses on the battlefield, Europe will become more and more tough, and the U.S. will become more and more tough. Russia's survival space will shrink further, and the risk of war expanding will increase further, and the risk of Russia's defeat will also increase further. As for the impact of Sweden's joining NATO and why Russia will lose the war, what do you think? Please leave a comment. This is Liu Yanshan. Thank you for watching. See you next time.