蔡奇中辦主任職位不再保？「習蔡中央」或成林彪第二 #紅朝秘聞

Hello everyone, welcome to Hongqiao Secrets, I am Lee Sun-hee. The CCP's three major meetings are usually held from September to November, but the CCP's 20th three major meetings have not been held until now. Recently, there is news that Xi Jinping's prime minister, Cai Qi, has an important task that may have to be replaced by someone else. This may cause turbulence in the South China Sea, and therefore delay the three major meetings. Cai Qi, who has always been high-profile, has even been reported to be a party to the central government. But there are also views that he may become the second Lin Biao. A few days ago, according to the Singapore Times, the CCP may hold the three major meetings in February this year. At least three CCP Central Committee members will be on duty or will be dismissed, namely, former Chinese Defense Minister Li Chang-fook, former Chinese Foreign Minister Chun Kang, and Chinese Rocket Army Commander Li Yuk-chiu. This report pointed out that, according to some political experts' speculations, another possibility for the three major meetings is that the 66-year-old CCP Minister of Public Security Wang Xiaohong will replace the 68-year-old Cai Qi to be the head of the CCP Central Office Hall. If this happens, Wang Xiaohong will be promoted to be a member of the CCP Central Political Bureau at the same time. Because the head of the Central Office Hall is also a member of the Political Bureau in general, and there are now 24 members of the Political Bureau in the CCP Central Office Hall, which just happens to have a vacancy name. In fact, after the end of the 20th CPC National Congress in early 2022, there were rumors that Wang Xiaohong would be the head of the Central Office Hall. But later, Cai Qi, who was the senior member of the Political Bureau, took over. Therefore, it is now rumored that Wang Xiaohong will replace Cai Qi to take over as the head of the Central Office Hall. But the authenticity of this news is still to be observed. Lui Mei's commentator Zhang Tianliang believes that the possibility of Wang Xiaohong replacing Cai Qi to become the head of the Central Office Hall is very small. He said in an analysis on a self-media program that the biggest power of the CCP Central Office Hall is to control the Central Police Bureau, and to monitor all the leaders of the CCP's political parties through the Central Police Bureau. And where Wang Xiaohong is now is the State Councilor and the Minister of Public Security, which is to control the Special Investigation Bureau, and then to monitor all the leaders of the CCP's rich countries through the Special Investigation Bureau. If Xi Jinping really appointed Wang Xiaohong as the head of the Central Office Hall, then he may monitor all the leaders of the CCP's government. In this case, Wang Xiaohong's power is too great. And the CCP does not have such precedent. To what extent does Xi Jinping trust Wang Xiaohong in order to give him such great power? Zhang Tianliang said that Xi Jinping has not been appointed by Wang Xiaohong's Politburo and has not been given the qualifications of Wang Xiaohong's Politburo. He also did not take Wang Xiaohong's position as the Minister of Public Security to serve as the Secretary of the Political and Legal Affairs Department as usual. He feels that Wang Xiaohong is not so favored. On December 12, 2023, the independent commentator and columnist Cai Shenkun said in a press release that after a year of serving as the head of the Central Office Hall, Xi Jinping has finally determined a new candidate. Ma Hingshui will be transferred from Xinjiang to Beijing. At the age of 64, Ma Hingshui will become the closest senior official to Xi Jinping. If nothing goes wrong, when the next term is changed, 68-year-old Ma Hingshui may be promoted again and become the leader of the Chinese Communist Party. But almost two months have passed. Cai Shenkun is still in the position of the head of the Central Office Hall. To this end, the Leimei Correspondent, Chen Pohong, said Ma Hingshui is a member of the aerospace system, a military-industrial company. At the end of last year, many leaders of the CCP's rocket army and military-industrial companies have been in trouble. It is difficult not to guarantee that they will not bite out the old boss, old colleague, old friend Ma Hingshui. Therefore, Ma Hingshui was dismissed from the position of the head of the Central Office Hall. On the surface, Cai Shenkun is very lucky in the CCP's party. But no matter if it is Ma Hingshui, who was promoted in December last year, who will replace him as the head of the Central Office Hall, or Wang Xiaohong, who was promoted recently, or replace him as the head of the Central Office Hall, it shows that his position as the head of the Central Office Hall is unstable. And this also triggered the speculation that Cai Qi lost weight. To this end, the Leimei Correspondent, Cai Shenkun, said in an analysis when it was reported that Ma Hingshui would take over as the head of the Central Office Hall. The replacement of the head of the Central Office Hall has nothing to do with whether Cai Qi lost weight or not. Cai Qi was originally in charge of the position of the head of the Central Office Hall. And in general, the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee will not take over this position. But the CCP's 20th century is a special period. Because Xi Jinping was re-elected for the third time, he must find a special loyal person to take over this position that is related to his safety. So he chose Cai Qi. But if Cai Qi continues to stay in office, it will have an impact on the emotions of other people in the Xi family's military. For example, the Zhejiang Gang. Because Cai Qi belongs to the Fujian Gang. Cai Shenkun said, if the Fujian Gang took over this key position and handed it over to a committee to manage, it is likely to cause the risk of Xi Jinping being removed from office. In this case, other factions are also unwilling. So this cry will definitely come out. Plus, Cai Qi's age is no longer suitable for the position of the head of the Central Office Hall. Because the work of the head of the Central Office Hall is huge, and must be done. It is also a very difficult job. So it must be replaced by a new person. Therefore, Cai Shenkun believes that replacing the head of the Central Office Hall at this time has little to do with the loss of Cai Qi. On the surface, Cai Qi continues to gain the trust of Xi Jinping. According to the report of the CCP's Xinhua News Agency on Jan. 4 this year, the CPC Central Political Bureau's Standing Committee listened to the work reports of the National People's Congress, the State Council, the National Political Association, the Supreme Court, and the Supreme Party Committee. At the same time, they listened to the work reports of the Central Secretary's Office. Xi Jinping personally hosted the meeting. There was a scene in the meeting. In the January 6th meeting of 2022, it was simply mentioned that the Central Secretary's Office has been working hard. But at this year's meeting, the CPC Politburo Standing Committee bragged about the Central Secretary's Office actively taking the initiative to work, seriously working hard, and so on. The Standing Committee bragged about the Central Secretary's Office, which is led by Cai Qi, while the other side was cold to the five institutions such as the National People's Congress. It is no longer the same as before to mention these five institutions and seriously consider the implementation of the central decision-making department but to evaluate them and seriously learn the spirit of the implementation of the party. If it is said that the CPC Party Committee's Xi Jinping wanted to use Wang Xiaohong to replace Cai Qi's position as the head of the Central Office to delay the holding of the three-way meeting, then at the beginning of January this year, the CPC Politburo Standing Committee bragged about the Central Secretary's Office. This is like appeasing Cai Qi. In fact, Cai Qi's pampering has aroused widespread attention. He ranks fifth in the CPC Politburo Standing Committee and has often been the second in the CPC Party under the banner of the CCP Prime Minister Li Ke. On December 16, 2023, the South China Morning Post, which has a color of pro-communism, quoted a data analysis and said that since Xi Jinping entered the third term, his direct contact with the members of the Central Committee was reduced to five years ago. One of the reasons is that the number of people he knows has reached or exceeded the official retirement age of the CCP, and the direct contact of other members of the Standing Committee and members of the Central Committee has increased. This kind of direct contact includes early years of education and working relationships, etc. There is an analysis that it seems that Cai Qi, who brags about the position of President Xi Jinping, is deeply trusted by Xi Jinping, but he is also a symbol of the CCP officials. Now the news about Wang Xiaohong replacing Cai Qi as the head of the Central Office is true and false. But during this period of time, Cai Qi is indeed more open-minded. On December 29, 2023, Xi Jinping met with the entire delegation of the Republic of China and asked them to dare to fight. Cai Qi accompanied the whole process. On January 16 this year, the CCP's provincial-level leadership official held a financial-specific seminar at the Central Party School. Xi Jinping said that he insisted that the Party Central Committee focus on unifying the leadership of financial work. At this time, Li Qiang chose to visit, and Cai Qi hosted the opening ceremony. On Jan. 19, Cai Qi gave a speech at the CCP's provincial-level leadership official's financial-specific seminar. On the same day, Cai Qi also attended the National Engineering Director's Exhibition and also gave a speech. And Ding Shichang, who should be in charge of this area, only conveyed the so-called important instructions of Xi Jinping. Commentator Zhong Yuan pointed out that it seems that the newly established Central Financial Work Committee has begun to operate officially. The Central Science and Technology Committee has also appeared. And Cai Qi seems to be able to take a step towards this. On Jan. 29, the CCP held a meeting on the central level of political formalism as a grassroots subsidized specialized work mechanism. Cai Qi hosted this meeting and gave a speech. In fact, according to the CCP's custom, Li Qiang, the new prime minister of the CCP, should have hosted this meeting. But he rushed to Shaanxi for an inspection. From this, it can be seen that Cai Qi is in charge of propaganda and the Central Secretariat and the Central Office. He also intervened in the security of the Party Central Committee's focus on unifying leadership and the fields of foreign affairs, finance, technology and grassroots subsidization. It can also be said that the current Cai Qi is just a name of the CCP's vice party committee. Zhong Yuan pointed out that the so-called core of the CCP is currently turning to the central committee. And in the CCP's party, Cai Qi, who has tried his best to flatter Xi Jinping, is very similar to the then vice chairman of the CCP, Lin Biao. According to Li Lin's analysis, at the last stage of the CCP's disintegration, all kinds of chaos have occurred. Cai Qi may not have the intention of rebelling yet. But when the CCP really can't support it, will Cai Qi give up? Will Lin Biao's incident be repeated? I believe the answer will soon be revealed. OK, that's all for today's program. If you like our program, please subscribe, like, and share it with your friends. Thank you for your support. See you next time.