🔥🔥鍾劍華博士：鬥氣！聖誕200萬離港 15億資金走人！齊避秦 我過家門而不入外資大撤離 港府唔好唔捉麻鷹捉雞仔！高調紀念習近平想學毛澤東 2三中全會點開唔開 台灣選舉紅媒唱好國民黨民調 #Lucy連線

In the past, most of the holidays were in Hong Kong, I remember it was only once or twice a week. It's not much different, but this time there was a trip to Australia, and then there were a few weeks of vacations, and then there was another trip to Taiwan. So in between these vacations, I came to Japan for a few weeks to see the Christmas here. I've been here many times. How do I feel? My biggest feeling is that since I left Hong Kong in April last year, this is the closest I've been to Hong Kong. But unfortunately, I had to cross the border. I felt a little strange. This is not my problem. As a society, how can it be that some people want to protect themselves? Like me, I want to protect my freedom. I would rather not enter the country, and I don't want to give any chance to the regime to do some mischief. I think the only thing that is worth doing is the government. As I said last year, I came to Hong Kong to avoid the virus. Avoiding the virus means that we are now facing a tyranny in Hong Kong. Although many Hong Kong people stay in Hong Kong, they have to limit their freedom of expression. There are some words in my heart that I can't say, because if I say it, I will be intimidated. I was threatened by the regime, so I didn't live a long life. Officials and teachers are more often threatened by the government. Recently, they threatened me that I would be responsible even if I didn't speak in private. So I think, looking back, the reason why I decided to come to Hong Kong in April last year is to preserve my freedom of will. Although there are some costs, it is worth it. Of course, everyone has their own considerations. As for those who continue to stay in Hong Kong, I also respect them very much. As I often say, as long as you don't participate in these speeches, you will be forced not to speak the truth for the time being. It is also reasonable and should be understood. So I think the reason why I left Hong Kong is to preserve my freedom of will. So since that's the case, I shouldn't have too many concerns, and I shouldn't have something to say. Some things cannot be said in Hong Kong. Hong Kong people want to speak, but cannot speak. But I know, or I can judge, so I will speak. I hope that I can leave Hong Kong, and get my freedom of will. I don't want to let this freedom down. So I don't care. I think the situation now is that I know that many people in Hong Kong are very strict. Some things can be said as little as possible. I hope that I can reflect people's hearts. So I hope that everyone will do their best. The most important thing is, even if you stay in Hong Kong, you cannot speak the truth, but at least don't participate in speeches. This is the most basic thing. On Christmas Eve, it seemed that Hong Kong was in a state of retaliation. According to the information collected, more than 2 million Hong Kong people left Hong Kong. This has undermined Hong Kong's consumption. According to the average consumption in the mainland, the consumption in Laos is about 15 billion HKD. What do you think of this phenomenon? Why is Hong Kong's consumption so low? I think a lot of people in Hong Kong are under a lot of pressure. They feel very unhappy. So if there is a chance, I would rather leave Hong Kong, go to Japan or Taiwan. I am in Japan now. In fact, I have seen a lot of Hong Kong people in Japan. I am in Tokyo now. There are a lot of Hong Kong people. Almost everywhere I go, I can hear people speaking Cantonese. And the people are basically happy. I think the social atmosphere is too oppressive. So people want to leave Hong Kong as soon as possible. They may not be able to give up their work in Hong Kong. They may not be able to give up their lives in Hong Kong. There are still some family members in Hong Kong who need their care. So they have to stay in Hong Kong. But the life in Hong Kong is really oppressive and very unhappy. So in this case, there is a chance to come to Hong Kong as a safe place to live. This is very normal. There are also some people who are a little angry with the government. The more the government urges citizens to stay in Hong Kong to consume, the less people are willing to stay in Hong Kong to consume. Because in Hong Kong, you have to suppress those yellow shops, and you have to run the bookstores. Since this is the case, many people in Hong Kong say that they would rather not visit other places. Now that the holiday is over, even if they want to go to Shenzhen, I will not respond to the government's call. I believe this kind of willing confrontation, whether it is a whole-heartedly confrontation, I believe it is a very common mentality. In addition, in fact, Hong Kong is a place where many people live. Hong Kong's cost is relatively high. Anyway, there is no difference between Hong Kong and mainland China. In the past, many people thought that Hong Kong was worth cherishing. In the future, Hong Kong consumption may support the Hong Kong economy. Now that Hong Kong has become like this, people don't think they cherish this society anymore. Anyway, Hong Kong, Shenzhen, and other areas have the same fate. Politically, it's the same. People use this method to deal with their own daily consumption arrangements. So I think this is caused by the government. In addition to foreign capital withdrawal, the government can't complain. In terms of consumption, people will definitely take away the funds. As you said just now, this Christmas holiday leaving Hong Kong, going to Shenzhen or somewhere else to consume, may involve more than 80 billion to 100 billion funds. You can imagine that if the money stays in Hong Kong, it will have some effect on the economy. But now people really don't want to do this. These people may not need any gathering or planning. In short, they all take this action in such an atmosphere. This will cause some damage to the Hong Kong economy. But how can the government blame Hong Kong people? The government's work first causes a large amount of foreign capital to be withdrawn. Isn't this foreign capital withdrawal money? If you don't catch the hawk, you catch the chicken. I think it's unnecessary. To be honest, if I were in Hong Kong, I wouldn't spend too little in Hong Kong. I think I would save some money to go out on holiday to relax and have a good time. It's better than listening to your senior officials talking nonsense in Hong Kong every day. You have destroyed Hong Kong's rule of law, destroyed Hong Kong's civil society. As an international investment agency, it is impossible not to consider the risk and cost of such a system. In addition, everyone can see how the court operates now. What is the level of government officials? What is the level of the current legislative council? In addition, everyone can see what kind of restrictions the information is subject to. So for funds, these factors are important. It's the same as we have to be alert. In the event of an emergency, some funds or part of the funds will be withdrawn to other regions. This is a reasonable and rational approach. You can't blame people. Investment is about cost and price, cost and return. When the risk is getting higher, the cost is getting higher, people will naturally take risks. So now a lot of funds are gone. In the past few years, especially in the US and Japan, the rate of withdrawal is more obvious. Now we see the same in the UK. Of course, there are more funds. Sometimes people say that Chinese funds have come to fill the gap. But you can see that the latest figures show that there are fewer Chinese funds coming to the Hong Kong headquarters. So the domestic economy is actually working hard. So I think the damage to Hong Kong seems to be temporary. There is no chance. Even next year, even if the pace slows down, it is not easy for some foreign companies to come back to Hong Kong. Because some international investment institutions, after withdrawing funds, they have to re-set up in other countries, whether Singapore or Taiwan. This requires a price. Second, Hong Kong has lost confidence. If you destroy the system, it will be difficult to rebuild. You have to rebuild the system. Even if the government doesn't do anything wrong now, the system will be destroyed. It takes time and resources to rebuild the system. Even if you rebuild the system, it will be more difficult to rebuild confidence. I don't know if you will come up with a new law two years later. So I think in the short term, even if the situation gets better, it is not easy to rebuild the system that has been lost. Let's see what you do. The National Security Law or the current anti-discrimination law are enough to destroy the system. So let's build a new one. Let's build a new one. After that, let's see if it will kill you. As I said earlier, I don't believe it. Once you lose confidence, it is very difficult to rebuild confidence. You can clearly see in Hong Kong that there are fewer overseas employees in Hong Kong. The government always thinks that the government can fill in the gap. But in fact, everyone knows that the government does not approve it. Many people have not even found a job. What long-term contribution can they make to Hong Kong? We can only wait and see. So I believe that in the short term, even if the situation does not deteriorate significantly, there will be no improvement. As for Mao Zedong, after the Hong Kong coup, the CCP has already made a major decision on the history of Hong Kong. Basically, it has already adopted a partial denial of Mao Zedong. So what Deng Xiaoping said is seven minutes and three minutes. The so-called seven minutes and three minutes is now a simplified statement. As for Mao Zedong's Hong Kong coup, it can even be described as a ten-year retreat. Now Xi Jinping, the leader of the past, of course, will not deny Mao Zedong. Because if you deny Mao Zedong, you will deny the first 30 years of Communist rule. But the leader of the past, from the beginning of the Hong Kong coup, basically did not take Mao Zedong out because he wanted to pursue a path based on struggle. In many respects, it is a strategy based on struggle. So this time there is a rumor, I don't know for now, that he will lead Mao Zedong's army with his horse to pay tribute to Mao Zedong, and may even say something. This rumor has not been confirmed yet. But with Xi Jinping's current diplomatic situation, and the internal economic problems, it is not politically very effective to form different factions. He used Mao Zedong to provoke to strengthen his power. This possibility cannot be said to be impossible. So let's see what he will do in the next few days. Now the whole approach is to deify oneself. If you want to deify yourself, of course you have to play these games. And this approach is not new. There are so-called seven books. Do you believe it? I believe most of them are not written by him. Most of them should not be written by him. What he says is what he says. There is nothing to lie to. The number of words is to lie to you. So I think now he is in an internal and external situation, he needs to deify himself. He even wants to improve himself to be as important as Mao Zedong. Mao Zedong, after all, is the founding father. He hopes to improve himself to be as important as Mao Zedong. For his subsequent play to save his own people, or other measures to do some work. But is it effective? I am very doubtful. But in this situation, it is difficult to prevent him from doing so. Because the whole high-level political circle is actually his puppets. I believe that there is still dissatisfaction in other ways. Xi Jinping, in order to break the relationship now, take the second term and seek a solution. He may even continue to take the second term to make a rise. He is now using this trick. This trick can be said to be very backward. But in fact, he really needs to do this. It is true. Because generally speaking, the Sino-British trade union was established after the 20th century. But it is usually a year after the 20th century. But I don't know why there is no reasonable explanation. I believe that there are still some problems that cannot be solved. Because usually the Sino-British trade union will talk about economic development, economic policy. As you can see, the economic environment in the world is not very good at this time. It can be said that it is relatively bad. For example, the Prime Minister, Li Keqiang, there are even rumors that he wants to resign. Of course, I don't believe this is true. But Li Keqiang is the weakest prime minister in the past 40 years. This is also a fact. So at this time, there may not be any evidence. There may be some internal political struggles. So we have to wait for further analysis. But the fact is that in the current environment, Xi Jinping is facing a leadership dilemma. So even the Sino-British trade union cannot open. This is almost certain. But I would like to ask a little about the election in Taiwan. You have been to Taiwan. Now I see a lot of reports like this. The election between the Democratic Party and the Kuomintang seems to be very close. Sometimes it is even said that the Kuomintang's poll is higher than that of the Democratic Party, even 1% to 8%. Is this really true? Maybe everyone is wondering. If so, this time the Democratic Party How to say? Is it possible that the election will be postponed for 10 years? This is inevitable because the Democratic Party has been in power for 8 years. It is normal for some people to want to postpone the election. Of course, this desire and this trust in the Kuomintang is a reference for reference. The reality is that it is difficult for the Kuomintang to attract young voters. But this year's feature is that many young generations are indifferent to the Democratic Party, so they will not vote. They will vote for the Democratic Party. So you said that at this stage before the election, the gap between the Democratic Party and the Kuomintang is closer. This possibility really exists. Of course, there are some articles that are even counterproductive. I see that those articles basically don't have much information, so how to do it, whether it is scientific or not, we dare not say. But you see, those articles are mainly from the Kuomintang or some red media So I think I will keep some doubts about these articles. But now there are more than half a month before the election, I believe we still have to keep an eye on it. If the Kuomintang wins and is elected, will you still be concerned about the mutiny of the two sides? Will the Kuomintang invade Taiwan? Of course, the CCP will not. In fact, I think you cannot rule out that the CCP will mutiny Taiwan, because it is very irrational now. Therefore, the Kuomintang is basically talking about war. The CCP has been preparing to use the most important force to unify Taiwan. Of course, whether it wants to do this or not, there is a gap here. We don't think there is much possibility in the short term. Xi Jinping recently went to the United States and saw that Biden emphasized that there was no plan to adopt such a choice before 2026. So whoever is elected this time may not immediately cause such consequences. You can see that in the past eight years, even if Tsai Ing-wen was often criticized by the Communist Party, she did not compromise. You can't help but see the Communist Party's military invasion of Taiwan. So if the Kuomintang really breaks through and wins this time, after winning, the Kuomintang will immediately ask Xi Jinping to surrender to the Communist Party or open the door to invite Xi Jinping to enter the country. I don't think this is very likely. But you said that in policy, it is easier to take advantage of China's interests to finally unify Taiwan for China. The system is clear, or the system conditions will definitely be the responsibility of the Kuomintang. The Kuomintang has basically already established itself. So if they go to power, they will definitely make some efforts in this area.