Trump Up NINE in Pennsylvania Over Biden in Latest Poll, with Ruthless Podcast Hosts

Let's talk presidential politics right now because the polls are really interesting. Fascinating state polls out of Pennsylvania would point out that this one released from Emerson College is of registered voters, which as you guys know, not really that great. It's much better to have likely, but the registered voters poll shows, taken before, by the way, the stuff that's happened in Israel, shows Trump in Pennsylvania up nine percentage points over Biden. Nine in Pennsylvania, which Biden won the last time. Then let's go over to Michigan, a poll out of Marketing Resource Group, which for what it's worth has a BC rating from 538. That's Nate Silver's group that assesses all polls. They are showing Trump up seven in Michigan over Biden. Now that's just two swing states. And I pointed out that the polls have a couple of weaknesses to them, but that's amazing news for Trump as of today. Not only is he crushing everybody in the GOP field now, I mean, up nine in Pennsylvania, guys? Yeah, he is really, really strong right now, and he only seems to be gaining steam. And a Trump margin like that is not just good for him, it's good for all Republicans because we have down-ballot races in both Pennsylvania and Michigan that matter very, very much. In the Senate, we've got this guy, Dave McCormick, who's running in Pennsylvania. He is a great candidate running against Bob Casey, who's been there way too long and has sort of lived a charmed life every cycle, winning easy races in good cycles for Democrats. If Trump is winning Pennsylvania by that much, Dave McCormick, who some argue will run ahead of Trump, Dave McCormick will win that Senate race. And if we're winning there, and if Trump is ahead in Michigan as far as he's ahead in Michigan, we get this guy, Mike Rogers, who's running as a Republican, former congressman there. He's running against this liberal, Alyssa Slotkin, for an open seat. Trump is leading in Michigan. We're gonna win the Senate race in Michigan. So a big Trump lead, if he can sustain it, which I think these guys will poke holes in, if Trump can sustain a lead like that, it's very, very good for Republicans across the map. I mean, this is before we've had the four criminal trials. So there's that, but yes, go ahead, Duncan. Right, I mean, there's the four criminal, this is a snapshot. Before the four criminal trials, obviously a lot can change. I also worry sometimes with Trump, and I mean, this is not the first experience we've had with this, but like he does spoil his own good fortune sometimes. I saw a clip of him just yesterday, talking about how smart Hezbollah was and criticizing Netanyahu in Israel. Nobody wants to hear that right now. And I get it, it's like Trump just does this thing where he's up there and he's riffing and he's just sort of trying material. And I know he doesn't mean it sometimes, but like he just stomps on his own story. And it should be a great week for him where the American people are reminded that under his leadership, we were strong in the world, we were respected in the world. And he didn't handle, he didn't take anyone's shit. I mean, Soleimani is, that general from Iran is conducting all these proxy wars across the Middle East. And what did Donald Trump do? He turned him into salsa, right? That's how Donald Trump- And then posted the American flag on Twitter. Right, right, right. And so if you're a voter who maybe was on the fence about supporting Donald Trump again, or an independent voter or somebody like that, like Americans just sort of like viscerally want somebody who's strong to be in the Oval Office. They know the burdens of the job and being the leader of the free world. And Joe Biden has failed at that so many times that this is like the easiest layup for Donald Trump. Yes. I hope he can sustain it. The thing on calling Hezbollah smart, I'll give him a pass on that because he was trying to say, why would the Biden administration openly say, we're really worried about the North of Israel and Lebanon and Hezbollah coming in and exploiting this conflict? That's what we're really worried about. He was saying, Hezbollah's smart, they're listening. That's dumb to openly broadcast. So like, I'll give him a pass on that. But there's no question he attacked Bibi at a time of most incredible stress and vulnerability for Netanyahu. And when he doesn't need it, like Trump didn't need to do it. Netanyahu didn't need to hear it. Here it is. It's of course, because Trump was mad that Netanyahu said Biden won and Trump lost the presidential election. So Trump starts to bring up how, while the Israelis helped us find Soleimani before we bombed him, I guess on the eve of that bombing, they didn't want to help, which I think is the first we've learned of this. But in any event, here it is in SOT 7. I'll never forget that Bibi Netanyahu let us down. That was a very terrible thing. So we were disappointed by that, very disappointed, but we did the job ourself and it was absolute precision, magnificent, beautiful job. And then Bibi tried to take credit for it. That wasn't good. That didn't make me feel too good, but that's all right. I mean, honestly, Smug, the problem is everything is about him. Everything relates back to him. I think it's just like these guys have described is sometimes he can have the problem of being his own worst enemy, especially in this new cycle where, immediately following the Biden administration trying to spike the football on giving Iran money. Now Iran backed terrorists go in and kill innocent civilians in Israel. And so at this moment should be like Trump having complete strength on that subject. And then he goes and just completely models the message. That's a huge issue that he has continually. And I think his campaign should really, cause he's got a great campaign team, a very serious campaign team on this cycle. They really need to make sure that he stays focused because right now Americans, it's become very clear Biden's doing it. Yeah, it's very clear that Biden's doing a terrible job as president and this country is not being respected around the world, but for him to just like, for Trump to jump off message like that, it's just a huge unforced error. I know, I know the timing. It's benefiting some of the other Republican presidential candidates. And they're obviously way behind in the polls, but previously in a lot of the national polling in a head-to-head with Biden, most of the other candidates were three, four points back and Trump was winning by two or tied or what have you. But I saw the Fox News poll today, you know, where DeSantis is leading, Nikki Haley's leading as well. I think it reflects- Versus Biden. Just like, yeah, that all those- And Trump isn't, Trump's losing by one, though it's within the three point margin of error. It's all in the margin. I think, especially when you're doing with these early polls and registered voter polls, it reflects like a broad sentiment. It's not the most accurate, obviously. But what I think it reveals here is that the American people just want leadership that isn't Joe Biden. I think that's right. And you know, it's been well reported that President Trump is not wild about the fact that a bunch of people are running to challenge him for the nomination. But I do think he would, it would benefit him to listen to some of them, including this guy, Doug Burgum. We've talked about him on your show before. We've talked about him on ours. Let me just read- You said he's like John Wayne. Let me just read you Doug Burgum's statement about what's going on in the Middle East. He says, countries like Qatar and Turkey that support Hamas should have 24 hours to give up their agents' close offices and cut off support, or we should close our airspace to Qatar Airways and Turkish Airlines if they refuse. I mean, that is something that is very specific. That sounds like John Wayne. And it's like, it's the kind of thing that if President Trump got specific about the enemy and played offense against the enemy instead of like talked about what happened months ago or who he doesn't like, you know, like sometimes that's funny, but sometimes in a very, very serious situation like that, it requires a very serious response like Burgum provided. It's a really good point, Ashbrook, and I'm glad you brought it up because it's the sort of outside the box thinking that Donald Trump was the best at in 2016, where it's not just, oh, well, you know, our diplomats will meet with your diplomats and we'll have these discussions about what's an appropriate way to respond, but like taking it outside of that diplomacy and going directly into the economic sphere and saying, no, you know what? If you're gonna keep doing this, we're gonna go ahead and we're gonna punish your economy. We're gonna punish your airlines that wanna fly over here. It's the sort of thing Donald Trump did so well in 2016. To your point, if he had that specificity again, I think he'd be killing it. Guess what costs Americans about $11 billion a year? The flu season, which is now. Kids get sick and they miss school. Parents miss work and then get sick too. Now you can add in COVID and whatever variant we happen to be on. 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