Mỹ - Pháp Lo Lắng Nga Mở Rộng Ảnh Hưởng Tại Châu Phi

FRANCE WORRIES NIZE TO CUT URANIUM RESOURCES A EUROPEAN COUNTRY IS IN A DANGEROUS SITUATION AFRAID OF US LEAVING URUGUAY U.S., GERMANY AND FRANCE ARE BEING DISPERSED BY MANY PROBLEMS, MAKING URUGUAY'S PROJECT MOST LIKELY TO BE DISTURBED. WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO WORLD POLITICS IN THIS COMPLEX SITUATION? WE'LL FIND OUT TOGETHER IN TODAY'S VIDEO, AND RIGHT AFTER THAT, THERE WILL BE DETAILED CONTENT. U.S. will leave Uruguay, Europe is worried about its face-to-face confrontation with foreign powers Regarding the war in Uruguay, Europe is facing the risk of leaving the U.S., which could cause serious consequences, including the collapse of NATO. This is the opinion of Professor Philip O'Brien, a strategic research expert at the University of St. Andrews in Scotland, published in The Atlantic on September 2 He believes that if the Republican Party wins in the 2024 election, the U.S. may cut support for Kyiv. This means that Uruguay is likely to be left out, and that Europe must protect itself without the help of the U.S. Facing this risk, it seems that the EU leaders continue to give wrong assessments regarding the EU's economic war against Russia. The first event was on August 28, Prime Minister Dirk Schoop revealed a call between him and President Macron. In it, he recorded a dialogue between two German and French leaders discussing their talk about President Putin. Prime Minister Schoop expressed his dissatisfaction with the fact that President Putin did not bring about Western sanctions, but only focused on the de-militarization of Uruguay. The second event, a senior representative of the European Union on foreign policy and security, Josep Borrell, said that the sanctions against Russia were effective. In it, he argued that the EU has imposed 11 sanctions on Russia, which has significantly limited Moscow's choice, removing Russia from key markets and reducing Russia's significant industrial and technological capabilities. Perhaps Mr. Borrell is right in theory, but the problem is that he does not count the third countries that have played a central role. It is clear that the head of the foreign committee of the EU and German Prime Minister did not take it seriously, because Russia has prepared a plan to deal with Western sanctions right from the outbreak of the conflict. Last year, the Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade drafted a list of friendly countries that Russia can set up production facilities to help avoid sanctions. Among them are Iran, China, Vietnam, the United Arab Emirates, Turkey, Egypt, Morocco, Mongolia, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Armenia and Uzbekistan. Turkey alone, a large number of Russian companies have set up branches in the country to create a framework for their import activities. The Turkey Economic Policy Research Fund noted that Russia established more than 1,300 companies in Turkey in 2022, up 670% compared to last year, despite strong pressure from the West on Ankara. Note that EU imports from Turkey in 2021 reached 78 billion euros, exports reached 79 billion euros, but in 2022 imports soared to 99 billion euros and exports soared to 100 billion euros. This is an unprecedented leap forward. At the same time, trade between Turkey and Russia increased by 93% in 2022. These figures have attracted the attention of experts at the U.S. Congress of the West, which showed that from March 2022 to March 2023, Turkey's electricity exports to Russia increased by about 85%. Combined power and electrical power plants are not the only strategic sector that Turkey continues to provide to the Russian economy. Turkish companies also export chemicals, rubber, and old cars worth millions of dollars, all of which are beneficial to Russia's production sector. As you can see, despite being a member of NATO, Turkey continues to trade with Russia. After heavy pressure from the United States, President Erdogan said he would no longer allow the shipment of goods sanctioned by the West to Russia. But the extent of the restrictions so far, Turkey has never made it clear. Instead, while the United States and the EU are increasing pressure on President Erdogan, Turkey and the EU are secretly signing an agreement earlier this year to participate in the EU's Common Market Program. This agreement allows Turkey to access certain benefits specifically for the EU's Common Market. Turkey currently receives nearly a quarter of its natural gas and a quarter of its oil from Russia. President Putin will allow Turkey to increase the transfer fee when sending gas to Europe. Recent gas contracts signed between Turkey, Hungary and Bulgaria have made the European Policy Analysis Center worried about this possibility. The agreement was signed between the Turkish oil company Potas and the Hungarian power company MVM on August 21. In fact, this could be part of a complicated and unclear plan. It could cause Russian gas to flow from Turkey to enter Europe, and prevent real supply diversification. This is extremely worrying. Of course, EU officials will be worried when Russian sanctions are invalidated by the third party. While EU officials such as Porel or German Chancellor still believe that the decision to attack Ukraine has pushed the Russian economy to a standstill and withdrawal, Russia has found a way to redirect trade with the West through third countries. At the same time, Russia has also transferred stronger economic ties to the Middle East, China, India and Southeast Asian countries. Russia's economy grew by 4.9% in the second quarter and is expected to grow by 2.5% this year. But this did not happen with the leading economy in Europe. While Prime Minister Joe Biden cannot explain why President Putin underestimated Western sanctions, he refused to admit that it was Russian policies that caused the German economy to seriously decline. In fact, the decision to cut energy sources with Russia has made Germany's entire industrial export model less competitive. Bloomberg reported on August 29 that more than half of German companies have been surveyed to say that the energy transition is having a very negative impact on their competitiveness. And now, the German government has announced that they can no longer provide electricity prices to industries that use a lot of energy. This is filling the German economy with depletion. The surveys show that the German government is not satisfied with the economic damage that the war in Ukraine is causing to their country. Since last year, half of the public has thought that the sanctions are causing more damage to Germany than to Russia. Recent surveys show that 71% of the German public is not satisfied with the work of the federal government. 55% believe that the German government needs to promote diplomatic measures to end the war in Ukraine. Therefore, there was nothing surprising when the channel Resilient Ukraine confirmed yesterday that the German leader is committed to seeking peace in Ukraine by trying to establish informal relations with Moscow through trilateral agreements. It is clear that Germany, the leading economy of Europe, has clearly rejected the opposition of the people. An entire government has supported Ukraine. TRIUMPHANT WARNING FOR UKRAINE Real-time developments on the battlefield show that Ukraine is suffering a terrible death. President Biden and his advisers are receiving incomplete intelligence information about the conflict in Ukraine. In the United States, there are three major intelligence centers, namely the CIA, the National Security Agency, and the Defense Intelligence Agency. All three create classified intelligence, and President Biden is often said to be based on defense intelligence, analyzing information that is beneficial to Ukraine, that the US and NATO only need to be patient and wait for the inevitable collapse of Russia. Some US military leaders did not know clearly about the recent history of Russia, believing that Russia could not win a military victory over Ukraine, that the war was on the brink and that Russia would be defeated. Under the leadership of the US intelligence, it is often assessed that President Putin and his advisers are considered weaklings. However, just like EU officials, Russia's failures have made the US intelligence ignore the facts. First, the Russian economy is still thriving despite Western sanctions, and Russia's political influence in the world is increasing, especially in Africa. Second, Russia's defense industry has increased production to a level that the West cannot afford, and this is causing great losses for the Ukrainian military. Third, Russia's unlimited access to natural resources, energy and minerals has strengthened Russia's military position in the world. Fourth, Russia believes it is facing a threat from NATO. Meanwhile, its opponent, Ukraine, is completely dependent on the money and weapons of the West to continue fighting. Western leaders, especially the Biden administration, do not accept full intelligence, creating more risks every day for Ukraine. Ukraine's ability to maintain counterattacks is declining day by day. Reports point out that the West is putting pressure on the Zelensky administration to mobilize a new army of 300,000 people. And this is an extremely good number for Ukraine at the moment. Unlike Russia, Ukraine no longer has potential recruits, so the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense has issued an order to mobilize the whole world with limited ability to participate in military missions. New recruits assigned to operate Western equipment must have a training process of at least 12 months. If these recruits start training in October, it must be by September that the troops are ready to fight. But discussions about a full-scale mobilization in Ukraine all ignore the fact that the Russians will have a say in this matter. Russia will not sit still and has a large number of long-range missiles coming to Ukraine, which means that the GF government will not have a safe training base. Therefore, training will have to be carried out at many locations in Europe. But more and more signs show that European leaders are too tired of long-range conflicts, as well as fed up with training Ukrainian troops. It is unlikely that Russia will carry out its own attacks in order to weaken Ukraine's ability to fight. In addition, Europe is facing a breakdown, while the US is preparing for the 2024 election, as well as clashes in Africa and tensions with China in the Taiwan Strait. All of this has caused a lot of confusion between the US and NATO on the Ukrainian project. The US, France are worried that Russia will expand its influence in Africa With the phenomenon that Niger is spreading across Africa, is it a coincidence that on August 30, the leader of the Gabon army overthrew President Ali Pongo? The coup in Gabon took place just one day after French President Macron had a tough stance on Nigerian leaders. President Macron not only rejected Nigerian leaders' requests to get rid of the French envoy in Niamey, but also threatened to attack Niger. But Nigerian leaders responded by sending a statement to the French Foreign Ministry that Ambassador Servan Itté is no longer granted special powers and immunity as a member of the French Embassy. Nigerian police have now been ordered to expel Ambassador Servan Itté and his family. All have been suspended. France said it would not recognize those who carried out the coup, but instead supported a non-resigned president. It was a humiliating rejection of French President Macron. Anti-French sentiment grew as tens of thousands of protesters gathered at a French military base in Niger on September 1 to demand that France withdraw its military forces from the country. It is clear that France is facing an international threat in this country. In addition, a new factor will make both the US and France have to reconsider, which is the Russian element in Africa. Although there is no official source of information showing that Russia is involved in the Nigerian coup, but Russia's close ties with the Central African Republic, Sudan, Mali and Libya through the Wagner force still leave unanswered questions. Russia's influence in Africa is an important part of Putin's foreign policy, and Wagner is still the key to success. The relationship with African leaders is based on President Trump's personal attraction. Similarly, by expelling President Trump and his top officials, NATO has hit a nail on the head of the Kremlin in Africa. Like any high-level assassination, we will never know the full truth. But there is one thing for sure, the US and some NATO members are benefited the most from the departure of President Trump. The war, which was led by the US in Ukraine, has entered a new phase, in which the terrorist ideology is becoming more and more of a weapon to weaken the US against Russia when it cannot defeat Russia on the battlefield. Of course, the Russians also have a way of responding to the interests of the US. For the first time, a Russian military delegation led by General Yunus Pesht-Zekurov officially visited Libya on August 22. The interesting thing is that the visit of this general took place at the request of Caliph Haftar, commander of the Libyan National Army, who has close ties with the Wagner force. Meanwhile, Wagner is said to be protecting a large part of Libya's military infrastructure and oil fields. The presence of the Wagner force has disrupted the original plan of the US and NATO to expand the influence of the West to Africa through the Libyan port. Therefore, in 2011, President Barack Obama's administration initiated a radical change in the regime that led to the assassination of Libyan President Muammar Gaddafi. Thus, it can be seen that the Wagner force played an important role in the game of power struggle in Africa. If the West's intention behind the assassination of Brigadier General was to destroy Wagner's leading command structure and from there defeat Russia's influence in Africa, this would not have happened. The Russians are still strengthening their influence in this area. On August 29, Russian Deputy Representative to the United Nations Dmitry Polyansky stated that Russia will continue to fully support Mali and other African countries. This means that Russia will ensure security for Burkina Faso at an important time, when the country claims to support Niger's defense against any military intervention of the West. Once again, the project of Africa and Ukraine is a matter for the US and NATO to consider. Goodbye and see you in the next programs!