China’s Next FINANCIAL TIME BOMB is About to EXPLODE…

Ben Hedges
2.4K followers
18 Video Views·Aug 15, 2023
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Chinese real estate developer Country Garden just failed to pay the interest it owed to bond holders, and has admitted that it will lose $7.6 billion in the first half of 2023. The company has 30 days to come up with the money, otherwise they will be in default.
Country Garden, the innocent sounding name of the company that up until recently was
China's largest real estate developer.
And after the crisis with Evergrande one year ago, Country Garden is China's latest real
estate company to face collapse.
Yet Country Garden has four times the number of projects that Evergrande had, so the stakes
could be way higher.
The company says they will report a loss of $7.6 billion for the first half of 2023.
They recently missed a coupon payment to bondholders on August 7th, and they now have
30 days or they'll officially be in default.
They're also now considering to extend the term of some of their soon to mature bonds
to try and ease their woes.
But despite that, Moody's still lowered the company's credit rating three levels down
to B1.
The writing should have all been on the wall back in December when Yang Huiyan, China's
richest woman and the largest shareholder in Country Garden, sold $660 million worth
of her shares.
That took her ownership in the company from 43% down to 36% and the stock fell 16% the
next day.
So why is Country Garden in trouble?
Well unfortunately it's not limited to just this one company itself, but to the trajectory
of China's entire economy and real estate market.
Check out what UCLA economist William Yu said in a recent interview with NCD Television.
President Biden also made comments about China's economy at a fundraiser in Utah a few days
ago.
President Biden is calling China a quote, ticking time bomb.
During a fundraiser in Utah, he said yesterday while also saying that he wants to have a
quote, rational relationship with Xi Jinping.
William Yu thinks that that ticking time bomb has already started to detonate.
They have no way to service their massive debt because demand for new homes is not
there anymore and prices are trending downwards.
China is actually now reporting deflation across the economy, the opposite problem that
the Federal Reserve is dealing with.
Their consumer price index was at minus 0.3% year over year for July and their producer
price index was down 4.4% in the most recent figures, the 10th decline in a row.
Yet the Chinese Communist regime's Bureau of National Statistics website still says
And that's all thanks to comrade Xi Jinping.
Yeah, welcome to China.
So why is this happening?
Well, there are a few factors.
One is that the severe COVID lockdowns over the past few years have no doubt destroyed
a lot of China's economy and small businesses.
For example, the small leather workshop that I used to buy wallets from in China for my
wallet selling business shut down during COVID.
But also the Chinese regime most probably lied about the number of people in their country
who actually died during the pandemic.
The US has reported over 1 million deaths from COVID according to the WHO.
Whereas China, the country where COVID originated, stopped counting at a few thousand deaths
back in 2020.
They then claimed that nothing happened all this time.
And then it finally seems that they reported some deaths to the WHO in January 2023, totaling
around 120,000.
If we look at the COVID deaths from the US and China side by side, it's clear that something
isn't right here.
It's just a hole where everything was fine in China while the US was experiencing the
height of the pandemic.
Then suddenly China went crazy with lockdowns, apparently over nothing.
And the lockdowns were so severe that people were locked in their homes with no food, having
to resort to fishing from a koi pond in their apartment complex with a drone just so that
they would have food to eat.
Now, the Chinese regime did then obviously admit to some deaths occurring, but I think
this was probably going on the whole time, perhaps at an even more severe level.
So I'm guessing their death toll actually measured in the millions or even the tens
of millions or more.
And if you have less people, they'll buy less products, less cars, less homes, the theory
of supply and demand.
And it's also going to be really hard to turn the economy around after that because you
can't just start supply back up again if demand isn't there.
Now that's just a theory of mine.
And if you don't share my belief that the actual COVID death numbers were higher, there
are still plenty of other things that could cause chaos in China's economy.
Unemployment amongst young people in China is very high.
So high the Chinese authorities have stopped releasing the figures on it.
Sounds kind of similar to the COVID figures.
Too high?
Just stop reporting them.
Exports to the US are also dropping.
Many businesses were destroyed and shut down during COVID.
And the US has recently limited some types of investment in China.
Many factors have contributed to a decrease in economic activity and deflation in China.
And thus there is less demand for homes and the homes that are being bought are selling
at lower prices.
And this has all brought those highly leveraged real estate companies to their knees.
Country Garden was the number one real estate company in China until last year, and they
have now dropped down to number six.
They now have a 30 day grace period to pay investors the interest payments they owe them
or they will officially be in default.
And it could potentially trigger a downward spiral four times the size of the Evergrande
collapse in 2022.
So what do you think about this, guys?
Please leave your comments below.
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