Watching Election Coverage

Jeremy Ford
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14 Video Views·Nov 3, 2026
Republicans hold a razor-thin majority with 218 seats.
That's exactly the majority threshold in Democrats holding 214.
That's with two vacancies.
And in the Senate, Republicans currently holding 53 seats,
while Democrats hold 47.
Remember, tonight, all 435 House seats are on the ballot.
Only a fraction of those are competitive.
Those are what we're calling races to watch.
We'll come back to these races throughout the night, all right?
Right now, let's go over to the big wall.
These are the races that we're really focusing in on.
There's 54 competitive races.
This is according to polling.
So what does that mean?
The numbers that you should be looking at here are the 41 and the 14.
The Republicans need to get to 41 seats out
of 54 in order to take the majority.
The Democrats only need 14.
This is out of the competitive races.
What else matters here?
Look at the yellow.
The yellows are toss-ups.
That means they're a statistical tie.
So the math right now is not in the Republicans' favor
if you're looking at the polls.
We know that polls historically have
not been accurate from time to time,
so we're going to keep a close eye on that.
But what this means right now, 14 and 41,
and what the Republicans really need to do is play defense.
They need to hold on to 41 of these competitive seats.
They can only afford to lose one seat.
We're going to go now and look at the Senate.
Similar concept, obviously it's different.
You have 35 Senate seats up for grabs tonight,
but only 11 of them are competitive.
We're going to be looking at that.
Both the Republicans and the Democrats, they only need six.
Right here you have the toss-ups.
This is the story of the night.
We're going to be coming back here, 11 competitive races,
with six needed for the Republicans and six for the Democrats.
Right now we're going to go over to Tiff and Chris
to get an update on some of the gubernatorial races.
That's right, Steve. I'm here with Andy Spivak,
because it's not just the balance of power at stake tonight.
There's also a bunch of governor's races.
Chris, what are the most interesting races of the night?
It's 36 in total.
So, 18...
18 18, Democrat, Republican.
Being the majority, the Republicans continue to have the majority.
You know, we're going to find out soon.
Interesting, five races here that went to President Trump
in the 2024 election, but have Democratic governors.
Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin.
Some incumbents there, like in Arizona.
How will the cookie crumble this time?
We're going to find out tonight.
There's also a few things here, some toss-ups.
Georgia, we're looking at a really close poll.
Nevada, same deal.
Ohio, I saw a poll today.
Neck and neck between Vivek Ramaswamy,
and Amy Acton have
We'll get to see how it shakes out.
You normally think these are local ones, right?
But some of these names are getting national attention.
But what should we be watching as those votes start coming in tonight?
Ticket splitting is going to be really big,
and we're going to find out some updates from Steve
and from Paul regarding, you know, how the Senate candidates are doing.
You see a state, there's a Democratic Senate candidate,
and there's a Democratic governor, for example.
Well, Chris, thanks. We'll be checking
in with you throughout the night.
See you, though, back in a minute.
Thanks, Jeff. And I'm here at the election hub with NTD's Paul Greene,
who's going to be giving us updates throughout
the night here at the hub.
Paul, the data's going to start coming in around 6 o'clock.
We've got a little change in watching those polls.
Well, I think, Stephen, good evening to everyone.
Thanks for watching us this evening.
See, I think, first of all, we're trying to get as quickly
as possible to get an idea of which way the wind is blowing, okay?
How accurate are the polls? How accurate have they been?
with those underperforming Republicans recently, will it happen again?
We're also looking at well-seated redistricting.
What impact redistricting has had.
We're going to look at Florida, Ohio,
these different states that have redistricted.
And really, that is what we're going to be watching.
So you know, probably as soon as the polls close,
we're probably going to get back to you.
And polls will be closing in Kentucky and Indiana right around 6:30.
What races are we going to be watching?
Well, Kentucky, Steve, look, this is the big one out of Kentucky.
This is Kentucky's 6th district.
It has been held by Congressman Andy Barr for 15 years.
And look, he's had commanding leads, not just in the last election,
where he won it by 26 points, back in 2022, won it by 29 points.
Then before that, won it by 16 points with Steve.
They say this one is at play,
One reason is, Steve, this isn't a deep red district.
This district voted for Democratic Governor Andy Beshear twice,
and I'm going to show you something.
Zach Hemble, the Democratic nominee for this one,
he is a former aide to Governor Beshear.
He and Governor Beshear have been traveling this district, they've
been campaigning, they've been rallying to get out their vote.
And so this is really going to be an interesting one.
Like you said, Kentucky, this part of Kentucky,
one of the first places to close.
Kentucky's had the reputation for getting their votes in early.
Now, I will say one thing.
Down in Fayette County, where it's home to Lexington.
During the primaries, they didn't have
a delay in uploading their votes.
It delayed it by about a couple hours.
But the county clerk has guaranteed us
that that problem's not going to happen again.
We'll keep an eye on that one for sure.
Paul, take us over to the East Coast.
They're going to be closing a lot of polls over there around 7 p.m.
Anybody
watching?
I can't show you what I'm watching
because TikTok flagged me for unoriginal content,
so I had to hide it, so I have to listen to it.
12-point victory, 13-point victory, 16-point victory,
and President Trump did well in this district,
he won this district, but Ron Wittman outperformed him,
and not just in the red area, Steve, down here.
And in Henrico County, home to Richmond,
Rob Wittman with 46% of the vote, we can go see President Trump,
only got 35% of the vote down there in Henrico County.
And even in the blue areas over here, New Kent,
Rob Wittman, so he is a personal candidate.
And the fact that they're saying that this race
is in play shows you why Republicans are a little bit nervous about it.
Well, in 24, we saw Governor Youngkin overperforming Virginia.
There's something interesting happening in Virginia's 2nd District.
Yes. Oh, yeah, absolutely.
I can see why this one is a little bit closer. And this one is in play.
This is somewhat of a controlled experiment, for want of a better word.
Jen Kiggans, she actually defeated this year's Democratic nominee,
Elaine Luria, four years ago.
We can take a look at about three and a half percentage points.
And again, Jen Kiggans wasn't necessarily riding
in the back of President Trump's strength at that time.
She outperformed President Trump as well in Virginia Beach.
In Chesapeake, so the fact that this was in play,
it makes more sense before, in Virginia, this was a swingy district.
It was a swingy district.
Now, one other thing that we'll probably out of this district get
an early indication of the sentiment among black voters,
this district in general, the third of the population is black.
And if we dive into Suffolk County.
Half of the population of this county is black,
so very early on, as soon as Virginia closes,
we'll start to get a better idea
of exactly how the winds may be blowing.
And we'll be checking back in with Paul throughout
the night, and I'm sure there's going to be
a lot of exciting data flowing through.
In the meantime, joining us now at the desk,
Denny Salas, NTD contributor, Democratic strategist,
and co-founder of Gotham Polling Analytics,
and Madeline Soma, Democratic strategist,
political commentator, and attorney.
And we're also joined by Dustin Olson,
pollster with American Polls Research and Polling,
and host of the Political Trade Secrets podcast.
And Deborah Leah, political commentator
and prominent Gen Z voice in conservative politics.
Thank you all so much for being here tonight.
Great, great night.
Long night ahead.
We're expecting that.
But Dustin, I want to start with you,
because why is the House more vulnerable than the
Senate this cycle?
How many seats does each party need to either maintain or gain control?
Well, it doesn't take too many seats for either one.
It's four in the Senate and it's three in the House.
But ultimately, the House is more vulnerable
because these are a lot of small districts.
Yeah, I put it up for a second.
We have unique states that have their own things going on.
I don't want them to flag me, but that's what I'm watching.
I don't know exactly how the math works
because of all the redistricting that's happened
over the last two years.
Also, you can click the link in my bio.
I just texted that.
The other live stream works.
Do you think we'll ultimately come down
to who's going to control Congress?
That's a great question.
I want to follow up on something that Dustin said also,
is that when you look at just the average historical loss
for the party in power during midterms,
you're looking at 26 seats.
That's the average loss.
So right now you know the Democrats are coming in with an advantage.
Now, if there's a particular seat that I will treat as a bellwether,
it would be actually my own seat in Westchester, the Mike Lawler race.
That one, that and Kate Kammly,
that is one that I'm watching, because you have Mike Lawler,
who has been a pretty good public servant.
He's a Republican. He's a moderate.
Democrats know that he's someone that they can work with.
But if he's someone that loses tonight and gets trounced by a Democrat?
I think it's going to be a really,
really good night for Democrats now in the Senate.
If there's a seat that's really interesting to me,
it will be obviously the Michigan race
for everything we know about Michigan,
but honestly, it's going to be Georgia, and I'll
tell you why.
Because if Ossoff wins by around above an eight-point margin,
you're looking at someone
who's going to come in and run as the president in 2028.
The President's Party has lost seats in 18
of the 20 midterm elections from 1946 through 2022.
Can Republicans defy this historical midterm trend
of losses for the President's Party or minimize losses?
you know usually when you call attention
to something as the president has to try to stave
it off right maybe maybe if i just call it out it won't happen right
and and he's the president's
right this is how it goes and last night we talked about how
um there was sort of an anomaly in 2022
when folks came out because it was right after
the Dobbs decision um and sort of messed with
the numbers a little bit because of those folks
who felt like their rights were being taken away
I wanted to assert that.
In this case here,
there's so many folks in particular who were once MAGA,
who are not now, who are still Republican, but perhaps are either so.
And those folks, I think,
are probably not going to switch sides,
but they're going to stay home.
And I think as a result, because there
are so many more voters on the Democratic side,
I think that's going to, one's going to outweigh the other,
and then we're going to see a lot of Democratic wins tonight.
And Deborah, we saw the president on the campaign trail
with a real big focus on a lot of the key Senate races.
What happens if the Democrats wind up winning the majority
in the House of Representatives, but the Republicans keep the Senate?
How will that affect the president's ability to govern?
It will definitely limit him more than
it's already been limited in the past.
But it will be very interesting because as a Republican,
we've been very happy to have us.
A full control of Congress and the presidency.
I don't feel that we've had our agenda
fully delivered, such as the SAVE Act.
There was no excuse why that could not get through Republican Congress.
And so I think a lot of Republican voters are kind of used to that.
But an interesting point that I wanted to raise about
the Democrat turnout and maybe less MAGA Republicans,
the Brookings poll found in 2022,
38% of Republican voters identified as MAGA.
The latest 2026 poll captured 62% of Republican voters.
And on the flip side, the Democrats, it's upwards of 55% of Democrats
who are favorable towards socialism, 39% identify as socialists,
registered Democrats, so I think that's really what's going
on within the party, I think Republicans are proud of Trump,
I don't think the Iran war is going to have
so much of an impact on Republicans as it will be on Democrats,
but of course, if Republicans lose any part of Congress,
the agenda will just be stopped any further,
and we don't have any real signs outside of John Fetterman
that bipartisan legislation is really coming through the woodworks,
but I would love to see that in the future.
Now, every election is described as consequential.
Here's actually what Speaker of the House Mike Johnson said
discussing what he thinks is at stake in this election.
He's out doing campaigns and rallies,
and you can look right in the eyes of the camera and say,
I am on the ballot, because in a real sense, he is.
If he were to lose in midterms, heaven forbid,
these Democrats, impeachment's not even a big concern.
They will turn every committee of Congress into an investigative body,
and it'll go up to the president's family,
the cabinet, his donors, his friends.
Half of you in this room will be targets.
I'm picking off of what Steve was asking you.
If the Democrats take both the House and the Senate,
would they pursue, say, investigations, impeachment, Supreme Court?
I think all of the above,
I think it would formally reshape America as we know it.
For many years it's been very strong about Keep Nine
and supporting the Keep Nine movement,
of course keeping nine Supreme Court justices.
And I think especially offering legalization
to every single immigrant in the country right now.
My father's an immigrant, he went through the process.
That would really be a slap in the face to all the immigrants here who
have waited many, many years for the process to get the correct papers.
So that, I think, would really reshape the country,
because, of course, people will be favorable to the people that
gave them citizenship, because it is the greatest
privilege we ever have in this world,
to be an American citizen. It truly is.
So I think that's going to reshape the country
at large, and the identity that we have.
It's, of course, our electorate, but it's really
the shared fabric and social
fabric that may be lost forever if we
reshape the country that way.
And then on that note, have the Democrats
repeatedly avoided emphasizing
these possibilities?
I would say impeachment. You have seen
Hakeem Jeffries trying to tamp down
any sort of motivation or anyone
who's actually been propagating the idea
of impeachment. You've seen him basically say,
no, I don't think we can go that route. I think they recognize
it. Last time he fussed,
it didn't go anywhere. It's not going to go anywhere.
It's just a loser. So don't
back that type of horse. Now,
the other idea is absolutely
They're going to use their investigatory powers and they
are going to try to basically create the narrative of corruption.
We've already seen them kind of lay the groundwork for it,
where they're starting to say, well,
they're already enriching themselves based on crypto,
right, the Trump family, everything else like that.
So they're going to focus on what type of self-enrichment schemes have
been going on within individuals that are associated with the Trump
administration or even work within the Trump administration.
We saw just even recently, this last week, where Trump was irate
When he found out that his former personal attorney
made something like $50 million
based on promising some sort of pardon for the president.
So there's things like that.
Well, yeah, 100%.
We're going to see a lot of investigations
target these individuals.
And it's just made to embarrass not only Trump,
but the Republican Party as well in 2020.
If the Republicans are able to retain both chambers of Congress,
how significant would it be for Trump to defy the historical trends
and odds, and what message might it send to the Democrats?
Well, I think that it's highly unlikely that that would happen.
If it does, and the Democrats start crying foul
and saying that there's something wrong
with the elections, which I think probably would
be the Democrats' response to it, it
would make everything, it would turn everything
upside down, because the Democrats right now
are waiting for the Republicans to say that,
once Democrats win, because the polls, and
they have been quite wrong in the past, but the polls are indicating that
Democrats are likely to win.
If the Republicans do, I think it's going to lead to some major
challenging the legitimacy of the election.
And just on that, because speaking of polls,
there's been a lot of thoughts and headlines
about polls. So which scenario to you appears most likely,
according to, say, the pre-election
forecast, and which would have
the biggest consequences for Trump's next term?
Well, we're guaranteed to have a point in this.
It's just a question as to which direction it's going to go.
And when I say that, I'm not saying
that about people like me and Vinny.
I'm saying that about the drive-by media polls
and people who work with universities
who have no accountability for what they do.
The only decisions anybody makes based off
of their polling is which headlines write.
For us, people won't hire us if we don't do our job.
So that's ultimately...
That's been, we're going to find that out in about a month or so.
We're going to have to talk to potential clients and ask this stuff.
But I think where you're going to see
the biggest mishap is in the Senate races.
And I think it's going
to look very different depending on where you're at.
In a place like Maine, it's possible the Democrats were under
funded. In a place like Alaska, it's possible the Republicans were under
So it might look a little bit different based on the job.
I think you're absolutely right.
Now, what I'm interested in is seeing how the early turnout vote
is really going to translate to, let's say, final numbers.
We've seen a lot of people kind of focus on the turnout
when it's compared to, let's say, the midterms of 2022 versus now
or even the presidential election of 2024,
which some of those, I would say,
analysis of those places ended up being right.
When we saw those heavy turnouts in Nevada,
when we saw those rural areas coming out in historical numbers,
everyone was like, Trump has this in the bag.
And guess what? He did.
So I think right now, when we're looking at heavy turnouts,
we are seeing an increased turnout in states like Maine.
We are seeing it not so much in Michigan, not so much in Georgia.
We're seeing it in North Carolina.
We are seeing it in Kansas. We are seeing it in Ohio.
We're seeing increases by 30%, 40%,
50% early turnout races compared to 2022.
So you're seeing all these now, is that going to translate to,
let's say, Democratic wins you'll see tonight?
But I'll tell you that right now, those numbers, I think actually
they're more favorable for Republicans in a couple of states.
Because the more Republicans
in a state, the higher turnout you're going to see.
It's interesting to see because based on like early returns,
right, it doesn't tell you who or how they vote,
but it does seem to favor Democrats for the early ones in the day of.
Historically, it is the Republicans who turn out.
So far, there's been a lot of different takes
on certain shenanigans maybe taking place all across the state.
So we'll be watching that. Speaking of watching things, Madeline,
what are you watching tonight as those results start coming in?
So, I like that we just spoke about the percentages of people
that are turning out, because I've worked in the past on figuring
out how the polls are so wrong about Al-Sayed, and one of the things
that I realized when I looked was that almost all of the undecided...
Go with the more conventional candidate when it comes down to it.
And that tracks, that makes sense, because psychologically,
if you're undecided, you're more likely to, if you're unsure,
you're more likely to go with the more conservative, stable candidate.
So my thought is, the easiest way to predict
is to look at what the percentage of undecideds are,
go ahead and move that over to the more conservative candidates column,
and then see where you're at.
Ah.
And.
The thing, the thing, so that's what I'm watching, is how true,
how, whether that rings true, and then secondly, um, Kansas.
Right? So, Kansas is just a crazy anomaly, I was just talking
to my husband about it on the phone on the way over here, because it
is sort of representative of that switch, if it should happen.
It is highly representative of, you know, the energy,
the blue sort of energy that's coming in, if it should.
So, I think that Kansas is a state that sort of serves
as a litmus test, much like Texas, right, because they're saying Texas
is going to be Georgia, to see if things really are going to flip.
So, for me, those are the big ones.
The night is just getting started. Plenty more to come.
Coming up, we're counting down to the next wave of poll closings.
We'll be checking in with Jack Bradley in Battleground, Michigan.
Meantime, we're looking at a live shot of the United States Capitol.
Stay with us for The Nation Decides 2026, just after the break.
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And you're looking live at the Capitol,
where the balance of power in Congress is on the line tonight.
So on to the next poll closings, about 30 minutes away.
So at 7 p.m. Eastern, polls will close in Georgia,
South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia,
the rest of Indiana and Kentucky, and most of Florida.
We'll be tracking key races all night,
but toss-up seats all decide whether Republicans will
keep their majorities in the House and the Senate
and the direction of the country for the next couple of years.
So let's take a look at the balance of power now.
So in the House, both sides still have zero.
Again, the magic number is 218.
That's the number either side needs if they want control of the House.
Over in the Senate, Republicans currently have 31.
Democrats, 34.
Again, the magic number is 50 for the Republicans.
They have the Vice President JD Vance and 51
for the Democrats if they want control.
And remember tonight...
Out of the hundreds of seats on the ballot,
only a fraction of them are competitive.
So let's go take a look at the races to watch.
I'll have Alex come with me to the big wall behind me here.
So again, hundreds of races, right, for the House of Representatives.
Fifty-four are the seats in play.
These are seen as the competitive ones.
So as you can see, for the Republicans,
they have 42 that they're trying to defend tonight.
They need 41 if they want to maintain their majority.
This is for the House of Representatives.
So already, you can see by the numbers down here,
it's going to be a challenging night for the Republicans to do that.
On the other hand, for the Democrats, again, the magic number is 218.
So they're defending the 12 seats.
The yellow ones you're seeing here are toss-up seats.
So those could go either way.
They're leaning blue.
And they need 14 out of these competitive races
if they want to get that magic number of 218.
So similar in the Senate, but much smaller numbers.
So let's bring that up here.
So as you can see for the Senate, again, 50 for the Republicans
because they have the vice president, 51 for the Democrats.
So out of all of those races,
11 are the competitive ones that we're going to be watching here.
Again, similar story for the House, obviously much smaller numbers,
but the Republicans also need to defend.
So either side needs six.
Republicans need that number, they want 50.
The Democrats need 6, so they want 51 for the majority.
But, as you can see, they have 3 they're defending, and they need 6.
So they need to flip some of the yellow ones you're seeing here.
So big story tonight is how all of that plays out.
So speaking of how all of that plays out,
let's go now to Paul Grady for some updates on what is happening.
So, Paul.
Polls have closed in Kentucky and Indiana, right?
The numbers started coming in.
Well, they have.
Look, you can see here, Tiffany, a little bit of blue on the map,
a little bit of red on the map, but really it's still early days.
31% of the vote in here in Indiana is third,
5% of the vote here in Indiana is fourth.
So we're still waiting, Tiffany, as well.
Steve and I spoke earlier about Kentucky's 6th District.
This is one we're watching closely, but just 1% of the vote in yet.
So not too much to go off just yet, but we'll keep an eye on it.
They're coming in fast and strong.
Now, redistricting was a big topic this election cycle.
What would be the impact and how or where will we see that?
Well, I think first of all, Tiffany, probably over here in Florida,
polls are going to close within an hour or so.
There's a few very interesting redistricting things here.
First of all, we go over to Orlando area where Darren Soto.
Now, I want to show you how
this district looked just last year, okay, or two years ago.
You can see it very tight around.
Orlando.
Darren Soto was the first Puerto Rican member of Congress.
He benefited a lot from being in this Orlando suburbs area.
But now you can see, after redistricting,
watch the way this map changes.
Comes out through Orlando, you get far less of that suburb,
much more into this red area.
Republicans hoping to flip this seat for them.
Another interesting one over in Florida, in the Tampa Bay area, Tim.
Kathy Castor has held this seat for 20 years, and again,
just last year, you can see, tight around this Tampa Bay area,
she managed to outperform Kamala Harris by a lot.
Even as President Trump dominated this Tampa Bay area,
Kathy Castor was able to hold on to her seat.
But you can see...
It helped to glide along this Tampa area, all the suburbs,
and look at the way they've redistricted it.
It comes out from Tampa, out into this red area.
This gives you an idea of what the Republicans are trying to achieve.
Of course, no numbers in for Florida yet, but that is probably where
we'll first see the indication of how the redistricting is going.
All right, so that was Florida, but what about places like Ohio?
Ohio is just an interesting one.
Up here, just underneath Toledo.
Marcy Kaptur is the longest-serving congresswoman in Congress,
in the House of Representatives.
She's been there since the 1980s.
Two years ago, she was in an extremely tight race with Derek Maron,
who she's up against this year.
She won it by less than a percentage point.
But again, Republicans, she's very strong,
like many Democrats around the Toledo area.
But the Republicans have redistricted this.
away from Toledo into these more red areas
and so it gives them a real chance to oust
the Democrats longest serving congresswoman.
Now polls will close in North Carolina in just
under an hour. It looks unlikely
for the Republicans to hold on to the Senate seat
there but could redistricting help them put them in house seats?
The Senate seat is going to be
extremely difficult for the Republicans to hold
on to but redistricting may help them topple
Win back a seat, and when I say win back,
this is a seat, North Carolina's first district,
that the Democrats have held for, since the 1880s.
The 1880s, more or less, has held them.
And again, Don Davis, two years ago,
really outperforming Kamala Harris in this.
He was up against Lori Buckhouse, who he's up against again this year.
Took it by just under two percentage points.
But as you can see, how it's been redistricted,
away from the blue areas,
Much more into the red areas.
Now, the polling suggests that even
though the redistricting is not going to be that easy to flip,
particularly in the political environment, we should be in.
All right, well, lots to watch tonight.
Paul, thank you for that.
And Steve, over to you.
Yeah, thank you, Tiff.
And I am here with Chris Bahl.
It's not just Congress that's up for grabs tonight.
There's a lot of state-level races and gubernatorial races.
We've been tracking, Chris, New York State.
Governor Hochul, she's looking for another term.
It's been sort of the central debate here in New York State?
So of the 36 races, 17 are being, you know, initiated by incumbents.
So Kathy Hochul is one of those incumbents
who got the office when Governor Cuomo left.
Now...
About immigration, affordability, like we heard with the mayor's race,
or Mondani, and also taxes.
So immigration recently, Kathy,
who got rid of those two 87-G agreements,
those agreements that allow local law
enforcement to cooperate with ICE.
Bruce Blakeman has argued that he's made New York less safe.
He's the Nassau County executive running against her in taxes.
Bruce Blakeman is promising.
That if you make $100,000 as a family or $50,000 as a single filer,
you should be paying.
New York State taxes for those people.
And if you're looking at affordability.
Energy prices have been central to the Blakeman-Hochul debate.
If you watch the debate,
she blamed Kathy Hochul for raising utility bills 48 times.
Energy costs have gone up 50% in New York State.
These are the big ticket items here on the menu in New York.
Now, New York hasn't had a Republican governor since Taki.
If you look at the last election in 2022,
Kathy Hochul won by six points against Lee Zeldin.
So, recent polling showing us double digits lead for Kathy Hochul,
but in 2024, the polls got it wrong with Trump,
the over-performed candidate.
And Chris, when we think about New York,
typically default to New York City, the largest city in the country,
but New York State is a big state. Talk to us about the geography.
So if Bruce Blakeman is going to show and show big, it has to come
from Staten Island, a population center in the five boroughs, but has
a lot of Republicans, Hudson Valley, a decent amount of Republicans,
and further upstate, western New York, central New York.
President Trump recently came to further up New York.
He questioned whether or not it was upstate New York,
Syracuse, New York, the campaign of Bruce Blatman.
If he's going to put in a showing there.
He has to count on those more rural voters,
whereas Kathy Hochul is going to rely on reliable
Democratic support in Manhattan, in Brooklyn, in Queens, etc.
You mentioned Lee Zeldin, Chris.
That six points that you mentioned, that's not too bad for a win.
Would it be even?
Well, you know, Zeldin right now,
we're talking about energy costs, right?
Big thing with him is he's saying what a candidate
for the New York City mayor's race once said
is that everything is to something high.
They talked about affordability as well,
long before Zohran Mamdani brought it up.
He said he was going to lower taxes on New Yorkers.
He said that he was going to reduce energy costs.
One of Bruce Blatman's promises that he's kind
of gone hand in hand with these elders is fracking.
Let's tap into New York's natural gas.
That's something that he did.
Bruce Blatman is saying, let's do that.
There's probably going
to be checking in with you throughout the evening.
In the meantime, let's throw it back to Tim.
Alright, thanks Steve.
And let's go back to the balance of power because that is what
the story is tonight for both the House and the Senate.
So right now if you're looking at the House,
it's 0-0 because all 435 seats are up for grabs tonight. Lots at stake.
Now in terms of the Senate, there are 36 seats up tonight.
And again, for the Senate,
it's 50 for the Republicans to maintain control
because currently they do have a vice president,
J.D. Vance, to act as a tiebreaker.
Of course, the Democrats need to win 51
if they want to gain control of that chamber.
We'll be watching both of those as those numbers start coming in,
especially for the House, they can lie ahead.
Meanwhile, though, we do have two bets.
Yes, indeed.
That's what's important.
Right now, we're going to actually toss it over to NBC's Jack Bradley,
who's standing by over in Michigan.
Jack, talk to us about what you're seeing there.
Ballots are still coming in.
What's the latest?
Hey, Steve. Yeah, well, we're here at the Huntington Place Convention
Center in Detroit, where all of the ballots are going to be counted.
They're currently being counted right now, the absentee ballots,
with tens of thousands already rolling in.
Results and the final election will roll
in after polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
Election officials expect around 90 percent
of their total votes to be reported by 11 p.m. Eastern.
Meanwhile, both campaigns are now making their final appeals to voters.
for this heavily contested Senate race,
former congressman Mike Rogers has the backing of
President Trump, accusing his opponent
of shifting to too radical from the Democrats,
let alone Congress.
And Abdul El-Sayed, the Democrat Senate candidate,
has the backing of Democrat officials, and
he's campaigning in part on ending the Iran conflict.
Here's their final pitch to voters on election day.
