(國語)如果烏量產遠程導彈,俄軍將沒有後方|【 #時事軍事】

時事軍事-夏洛山
3109粉絲
Hello, I am Xia Lushan.
Ukraine urgently needs long-range weapons to strike Russian strategic targets that may affect the entire Ukrainian situation.
In the process of waiting for the United States and the West to lift the use of long-range weapons,
Ukraine has begun to use its own long-range weapons to strike Russian internal targets.
According to the report of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces,
On the night of August 21,
the Ukrainian army hit the Russian S-300 missile system,
which is about 160 km away from the front line,
near the new Sahaginsk in the Rostov region.
This attack was coordinated by the Ukrainian Navy and the Army.
The only known weapon in the Ukrainian Navy's arsenal
that has the ability to carry out such missions is the Sea King missile.
The missile was previously used to attack Crimea's Russian air defense system.
However, Ukraine has recently carried out multiple long-range strikes on Russian internal targets.
It is not clear what kind of weapons the outside world has used on Ukraine,
but it is likely that it is not a long-range weapon provided by the West,
including land-based tactical missiles.
This shows that Ukraine may already have its own long-range weapon.
There is news that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have received a new long-range weapon called the Parianich.
This is a combination of missiles and drones.
Parianich is the name of a type of Ukrainian bread.
For non-Ukrainian foreigners, the pronunciation of this word is very difficult,
so it was used in the early days of the war to identify suspects, such as spies.
On August 24, Ukrainian President Zelensky
confirmed the existence of such a rocket drone during the Ukrainian Independence Day celebration held in Kiev.
There are reports that on August 24,
which is the 33rd anniversary of Ukraine's departure from the former Soviet Union,
Ukraine used this weapon for the first time to strike Russian military facilities on the occupied territory.
On Tuesday, Zelensky said in an independent forum
that Ukraine's first ballistic missile had been actively tested.
He said,
about the new long-range weapon,
maybe it's too early to talk about it now,
but I still want to share with you
Zelensky praised Ukraine's defense industry achievements,
but he was speechless about the details of the new long-range weapon plan.
On August 26, Ukrainian Defense Minister Umeylov said
that he would soon use this new weapon again
to respond to Ukraine's nightly attacks.
He said,
Ukraine is preparing to respond with its own weapons.
This will once again prove that to win,
it requires long-range capability and the cancellation of the restrictions on enemy military facilities.
Ukrainian Defense Strategy Center Security Research Project Director Fudevichenko said,
Ukraine's drones are at the forefront of defense technology development.
He said,
Ukraine cooperates closely with the military,
participates in the development and production of autonomous devices, drones and anti-drone weapons.
The development of new long-range weapons is supported by the Strategic Industry Department and the Digital Transformation Department.
Ukraine is gradually evolving into a new military valley,
similar to the U.S. valley,
but it is driven by the military industry.
Ukraine's military said,
this long-range weapon, called the Palenitsa,
can reach a range of up to 430 miles.
It is equivalent to the U.S. land-based tactical missile.
Ukraine has been trying to develop its own arms industry
and encourages production in its own country
to reduce its dependence on Western military aid.
In the West, Ukraine is using long-range weapons provided by the West
to crack down on Russian domestic targets.
Russia is using the space behind it that is not under attack
to launch air strikes on Ukraine.
According to a recent report by the War Research Institute,
within the range of the U.S. land-based tactical missile,
there are at least 250 important military targets in Russia,
which are strategic targets that Ukraine urgently needs to strike.
However, due to the current restrictions on long-range weapons,
Ukraine can only use a relatively short range of Hamas and multi-missile systems
to strike about 20 of them.
If Ukraine has a sufficient number of Palenitsa rocket drones,
Ukraine is likely to be able to strike all 250 important Russian military targets
without the influence of Western weapons.
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The Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine,
who is responsible for technological innovation,
said that this new long-range weapon
will be a game-changer for the Ukrainian army.
Because it is not restricted by the United Nations,
Ukraine urgently needs to create such a system.
He said, the next step is to expand the production scale.
I think this will change the rules of the game.
Because we will be able to hit
the unexpected places in Russia.
Fedorov did not explain in detail
the exact range of this weapon
and the actual number in the hands of the current Ukrainian army.
But he said,
since 2022,
he has been involved in the development of domestic missiles.
The new weapon has always been a long-term goal for Ukraine.
The Parionitsa is a new development plan
that began about 18 months ago.
Unlike the Sea King missile,
the Parionitsa has nothing to do with the system
developed by the former Soviet Union.
It is said that the missile has a solid fuel booster
and a jet engine,
which allows it to fly at a higher speed for a longer period of time.
Fedorov said,
the cost of each missile is less than $1 million.
The military is turning to private companies
to find a solution to achieve mass production
and further reduce production costs.
Private companies have become the main suppliers
of Ukrainian military drones,
including drones currently operating in Russia
and drones that have attacked the Russian Black Sea Fleet many times.
Fedorov said,
Russia has a large territory,
but it is difficult for Russian air defense
to produce enough air defense missiles
to cover the entire territory.
This gives the Ukrainian military a deep opportunity to fight.
Recently, Ukraine's actions in Kursk
may have stretched the Russian military
and gained the necessary time
to wait for Western aid to arrive.
At the same time,
this invasion has made people begin to suspect
that Russia has the ability
to launch any major attack in the remaining time of the year.
The Russian military's slow response
to Ukraine's Kursk operations shows
that Russia has almost all its forces
on the front lines of Ukraine,
especially Donbass.
Russia will be forced to make a difficult choice
between defending Kursk
and continuing to attack Donbass.
So far, the Russian military has lost
about 1,000 people every day
as well as corresponding equipment losses.
Russia's monthly mobilization capacity
is about 20,000 to 30,000 people,
which is about the same as the front line losses.
This shows that the Russian military
has almost no extra back-up troops
to fight the Ukrainian armored forces
of Kursk and Belgrade.
From the beginning of the war to today,
Western restrictions on Ukraine's use of long-range weapons
have created unequal situations
This forces Ukraine to consider
other methods of action
Russia, on the other hand,
enjoys a luxury safe haven
close to the border area.
This allows Russia to invest more troops
to participate in the battle of Donbass.
Ukraine's Kursk operation
is a forced method
in the absence of long-range weapons.
It allows troops carrying limited-range weapons
to enter Russia
in order to extend the distance of attack.
Of course, it also has other
more positive effects.
For example, it pushes the Russian air force
back into the Russian territory
away from the border area
so that it cannot continue
to use the border area
to launch landmines
or at least force its bombers
to fly further
and for a longer time
so that its attack power
is significantly reduced.
At the same time,
the Ukrainian troops also use
attack drones to strike Russian reconnaissance drones
and use powerful electronic interference measures
to suppress Russian radio communication
so that the Russian army cannot see the battlefield
and it is difficult to conduct command and control on the battlefield.
This may be the reason
why the Russian military
is not active in Donbass.
In short, the passive situation
of the Russian army
on the ground and in the air
is unprecedented since the beginning of the war.
Moscow faces the choice
to recruit new troops
and accelerate and expand military production
in order to meet the needs
of defending Kursk as much as possible.
This means that Moscow must pay
a huge cost of counterattack
or continue to insist on its actions in Donbass
and pay the price of Kursk,
Belgorod, and even more regions
being given to Ukraine.
No matter how Putin chooses,
there is basically no way out.
Ukraine launched an invasion of Kursk
and began to make its own long-range weapons,
changing the situation on the battlefield.
This result was actually forced out.
Ukraine seems to have found
a way to victory again.
If Ukrainian allies
put more effort on long-range weapons,
the days after the war
may come sooner.
That's all for today.
Thank you for watching.
See you next time.
