(國語)解禁遠程武器打擊俄境內目標,成為繞不開的關切點|【 #軍事熱點】

時事軍事-夏洛山
3109粉絲
561 次觀看·2024年8月27日
發布日期:2024年8月27日
責任編輯:Jessy
Russian military blog reports on the war in Ukraine are full of contradictions
Not only reflects the chaos in the Russian information space
It also shows that the Ukrainian army is making progress
It seems that Moscow's control of the information space is no longer so effective
But as the telegram channel appears
The Russian military blog will lose the information platform for free communication
There are reports that the Ukrainian army will continue to launch attacks in Kursk on August 25
Some Russian military blogs immediately responded
The Russian army has recaptured the Orgovka and Kremlinoye in the east of Kremlinoye
And advanced to Kremlinoye in the west
However, another Russian military blog says
The Ukrainian army still controls Kremlinoye
And encircled the 18th Motorized Infantry Division of the Russian Malaysian-Lithuanian Russian Army
Then there was another Russian military blog
The fighting in the Malaysian-Lithuanian region is still going on
And the fighting in these settlements
Does not affect the Ukrainian army's further entry into the Kursk
Russian media and military blogs report
Two Russian naval infantry
And at least four paratroopers
Were sent to the border area adjacent to Ukraine to carry out combat missions
These troops were dispatched from the northern front line of Kharkov
The Russian military command seems to be holding
The troops were deployed again from the high-priority offensive actions of Donetsk and Bokorovsk
To the Russian combat pressure
And may continue to withdraw troops from other low-priority offensive actions throughout the area to defend Kursk
While Russian military blogs use the Telegram channel to report the complicated news of the Ukrainian battlefield
On August 24, the French authorities arrested the founder of Telegram, Durov
This triggered the Russian extremist nationalism blog
Worried about its freedom to report the ability of Ukraine to fight
The Russian Embassy in France immediately asked the French authorities to explain the reason for the arrest of Durov
But the French authorities have not responded
The Russian military blog's widespread response is
Worried that their ability to continue to spread information on Telegram will be damaged
And some other people are worried that Russian federal investigative agencies will restrict Russian domestic users from visiting Telegram
The Kremlin has long been trying to force Durov and his Telegram to comply with the Russian investigative system
And strengthen the control of the Russian extremist nationalism blog
So far, it has not been observed that after Durov was arrested
Russian sources use Telegram to report any changes in the way of the Ukrainian war
The potential loss of Telegram in Russia will further hinder the Russian military blog's freedom of speech
Russian extremist nationalism blog and other groups often use Telegram
For Russia's war in Ukraine, Moscow's policy, and even specific officials
And not subject to Telegram
The Russian authorities, through the public arrest of media figures
Cultivate blog authors loyal to Kremlin to control the information space of Telegram
The emergence of the Telegram channel will allow the Kremlin to control the information space more widely
In addition, the emergence of Telegram may also have an impact on Russian military actions
The reason is that Russian soldiers often rely on information platforms, including Telegram, for temporary communication
Organize military operations in Ukraine
The Russian military blog widely described Telegram as
The main alternative to Russian military communication in Ukraine
And believe that the Russian military command has established an official communication system
However, the Russian military blog can not be sure that the Russian military has created such a special communication system
Or there is no such system at all
During the war, the Russian military has always had difficulties in special communication
As far as obstructing Russian indirect fire
The Russian military has not been able to establish a sufficient command and control system
Support its offensive and defense of Kursk in northern Kharkov
The Russian military relies on unsafe personal communication equipment
To organize front-line command and control, logistics supplies and other combat operations
This greatly compensates for the lack of official communication
But it is also easy to expose the military's intentions
Recently, the Kremlin tried to use the Russian military's personal communication equipment as a crime
But did not provide meaningful background information
For example, whether it solved the military's special encryption communication problem
The War Research Institute believes
The sudden uncertainty of Telegram's continued operation in Russia
And any changes in the operation of Telegram
May at least affect the Russian military's front-line operations in the short term
Due to fear of being harmed during the arrest of Durov
Telegram's Russian military users may move from Telegram
Even if Telegram is not affected by Durov's arrest
The Russian military may have begun to gradually decouple from Telegram
In fact, this is also what the Kremlin hopes to see
On the other hand, Ukraine's determination to strike Russian domestic strategic targets
Once again, the issue of restricting Ukraine's use of Western weapons to strike Russian domestic targets is on the table
Earlier this year, the United States offered long-range land-based tactical missiles to Kiev
But restricting Ukraine can only be used to strike Ukraine's prepared territory and Crimea's Russian military targets
And cannot be used locally in Russia
The War Research Institute believes
Ukraine's long-range strike on Russia's rear-line military targets
Is crucial to the Russian military's ability to weaken the entire war zone
And the cancellation of the restrictions on Ukraine's use of Western weapons
Will make the Ukrainian military able to strike and support Russia's more extensive strategic targets
White House officials said
Since Moscow has deployed air defense firepower near Ukraine's Russian air base
Therefore, the Russian military's tactical missiles against Russian targets
Will not be as effective as Kiev hopes
But on August 24th
The War Research Institute expressed opposition to Russia's assessment of the offensive
The War Research Institute's map and satellite images show
There are about 250 Russian military targets within the range of Ukraine's land-based tactical missiles
These Russian military targets include large military bases, communications stations, logistics centers
Maintenance facilities, fuel depots, ammunition depots and command and control centers
The War Research Institute said
Russian military assets quickly redeployed to these places
Will be extremely difficult or impossible
Of these 250 targets, only 17 are airfields
Aircraft can be quickly transferred
But the Russian military is unlikely to take military assets
From all other 233 facilities
To quickly deploy to safer places like aircraft
The War Research Institute added
The Ukrainian military does not need to strike
Every Russian military target within the range of Western weapons
Can cause huge pressure on the Russian military
Ukraine does have the right to use the Russian military targets
U.S. HMS and導引 multi-missile system
But the range of these systems is relatively short
Of the 250 potential targets shown by the War Research Institute
Only 20 are within the range of these weapons
So far
U.S. officials' comments are mainly focused on Russia's redeployment of air assets
And these comments largely ignore the impact of land-based tactical missiles
If the U.S. lifts the ban
The Ukrainian military may use land-based tactical missiles
To attack all 250 Russian military targets
The War Research Institute believes
This may force the Russian military to concentrate air defense and electronic warfare assets
To protect rear military and precision military facilities
In order to avoid the evacuation or loss of these assets
Affect the frontline
Ukraine's drone attack against Russia shows
There is very limited air defense coverage in many rear regions of Russia
Some places don't even have air defense coverage
This may create conditions for Ukraine to expand its air operations
Therefore, lifting the ban will allow Ukraine to start attacking Russia's important military targets
At the same time, it immediately forced the Kremlin and the Russian military command
To redistribute limited air defense and electronic warfare assets
And the deployment of the Russian military to make a new decision
From these facilities, a large-scale redeployment of assets
Will pose a major challenge to the Russian logistics of the entire war zone
Logistics interference will also limit Russia's offensive operations across the front line
