（國語）無人機正在改變空中優勢概念，烏克蘭的機會來了｜【 #時事軍事】

Hello, I am Xia Lushan One of the most prominent lessons of the Russian-Ukrainian war is that we must gain air superiority Then we can talk about further gaining decisive battlefield advantage The Russian air force failed to establish air superiority from the beginning The Putin's army lost the battle and fell into an endless war of consumption As for Ukraine, due to resources and capabilities restrictions, it is also difficult to establish air superiority This forced Ukraine to undergo a devastating attack on its territory and cities by the Russian army With the development of the war, the excellent performance of small drones on the battlefield forced people to rethink what is air superiority Not only the Ukrainian battlefield, but also the hot spots all over the world are threatened by drones, rockets and missiles from the air They can penetrate advanced missile defense systems and cause fatal damage to opponents In January this year, in Jordan, a drone attack even killed three American soldiers In the Middle East, some extremist forces supported by Iran The weapons they have in their hands include drones, rockets and missiles Its cost may range from hundreds to hundreds of thousands of dollars It's not about high-tech equipment But it can form the so-called air superiority in the air of the U.S. military bases, which are heavily defended and actually cause U.S. casualties This is almost impossible for advanced weapons systems worth tens of millions of dollars or even more But they did it Although the success rate of drones is small and pitiful But the occurrence of such incidents forced the U.S. military to reconsider the concept of air superiority On July 29, Deputy Secretary of the Air Force Cliff said Due to the large-scale use of small low-cost drones The U.S. Air Force needs to reconsider the definition of air superiority He said We used to claim that since 1953, no American has died of air suffering We can't say that anymore Cliff's words make people wonder What should the air superiority actually look like? Is it the same as the 30,000-inch altitude of the Yalu River in the Cold War in 1953? Or is it the same as what happened today at the altitude of the four-axis drone hanging a grenade at an altitude of 3,000 feet? The answer is all included Today, the scope of air superiority is almost connected to the ground It's hard to find a drone Low altitude, small radar interface Trained operators can control a group of drones Bring the real problem to the opponent Especially in the Middle East They forced the United States and its allies to use F-22s, F-15s and F-16s And expensive anti-aircraft missiles Against Iran and its agents Cheap drones, rockets and ballistic missiles Causing a cost exchange of no proportion In April of this year The United States and the allied forces defeated Iran's missile attack on Israel Destroyed 99% of Iran's ballistic missiles and drones Even in the vast majority of cases The U.S. military interception was successful But this does not reflect a long-term balance in the strategic level The reason is that this balance is likely to be easily broken due to the huge number of advantages of the opponent's offensive weapons And the opponent's attack As long as there are very few or even accidental breakthroughs Will cause unacceptable losses In fact, this has already happened Since October 2023 More than 170 drones, rockets and missiles have been attacked in the Middle East Dozens of U.S. soldiers have been injured and three people have died In addition to the extremist organizations of Syria, Iraq, Gaza and Lebanon supported by Iran Iran also supports the Yemeni Hussein army The organization is using similar long-range guided missiles to attack the Red Sea And in early July Using ballistic missiles to attack Israel and Tel Aviv, which are more than 1,000 kilometers away, causing civilian casualties The U.S. has a strong enough air force to intercept Iran's drones and missiles In the Middle East, the U.S. seems to be firmly controlling the traditional air superiority But there is also a historical embarrassment U.S. air superiority does not absolutely mean to stop the air threat from the opponent This is the actual situation of air superiority And how to define air superiority for further discussion The U.S. has learned a lot of experience and lessons from the conflict after World War II Of course, the U.S. will not learn new things from its opponents in the Middle East And make changes to the existing system Slif believes that the U.S. can learn to use small drones as an extension of its conventional air force He said, before the second world war broke out You can see that the outline of World War II has begun to form This is not the hope of the third world war But if it happens People want to know how much of today's Israeli-Ukrainian lesson has started to influence and change the way the U.S. military fights People are more interested in being able to get something valuable from it The U.S. Air Force first used high-end drones Including MQ-1 Predator and MQ-9 Death God drones And various other drone systems More high-end autonomous combat aircraft are currently being developed The aircraft will carry out missions with a manned combat aircraft U.S. Deputy Secretary of the Air Force Dalton said The idea of ​​paying attention to cost-effectiveness is becoming more and more accepted by the Department of Defense and the Air Force He believes that the U.S. needs to consider how to use cost-effectiveness to strengthen expensive platforms He said, for the Air Force Historically, it has been focused on building an independent and exquisite platform Emphasize quality, not quantity But when you think about how to infiltrate and destroy the war environment we may face Quantity can also have a qualitative impact In addition to the large-scale use of low-cost combat platforms In the way of the man In addition to the way of the man The U.S. also hopes to use artificial intelligence and machine learning Open up new possibilities for drones and future weapons systems The development of network technology and automation And changed the way of thinking of the Air Force The future combat system is no longer a plane How a pilot and a data chain complete a mission But a multi-automation platform Complete a mission on your own in a complex multi-system People are just the decision makers in the way of returning On the battlefield When both sides have a deadly air defense system and can prevent the other side from penetrating the air, that is, when both sides cannot obtain complete air superiority, the war becomes a painful consumption. This is not good for Ukraine, which is not as powerful as Russia. However, Ukraine may use the time and location of its choice to plan an air-to-ground unified war to gain air superiority and turn the game around. In other words, Ukraine needs to combine long-range ground-to-ground weapons, fighter jets, drones, electronic warfare, battlefield information systems, and special combat capabilities to gain air superiority, and then seek active battlefield and change the course of the war. With the help of the United States and NATO, Ukraine has this potential. In this respect, Ukraine may have a better advantage than Russia. Historically, the drone system has never been widely used in combat like today. Last year, Ukraine sent about 100,000 small drones to the front line and used attack drones to hit Russian air bases, fuel tanks, and other targets nearly 200 times. Russia has launched thousands of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and attack drones to Ukraine. In short, the increased long-range drone system on the Ukrainian battlefield represents the real potential of these low-cost precision strike systems. The deployment of drones and guided missiles shows that even the troops with backward equipment, including some local forces and terrorists, are obviously easier to obtain long-range precision strike capabilities than before. These weapons are not only effective, but can also be mass-produced at low cost by non-national activists. However, the defense system used to deal with these attacks is very expensive and scarce. Ukraine and Russia now use small drones to launch tens of thousands of attacks on the battlefield every month. Ukraine has built an independent drone force and accelerated the development and innovation of ground, sea, and air drone systems. The first-person view of the drone carrying the bomb can directly destroy Russian tanks, armored vehicles, rockets, and warplanes. The drone can even provide its own intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance for the front line and its troops. Ukraine plans to produce 1 million drones in about 200 factories across the country this year. In the Ukrainian battlefield, low-cost, large-capacity drones have dominated the airspace from 3,000 feet up and down to the ground. Here, drones have unquestionable air superiority. No matter how low the air superiority of the airspace is, it is an advantage. It can bring undisputed initiative to the battlefield, which is heavily dependent on air force. If we can learn something from the Russian-Ukrainian war, it is that air superiority is a necessary condition to achieve decisive initiative in the battlefield. Otherwise, both sides will consume everything in the battlefield, and drones have become an important means of breaking the battlefield. That's all for today. Thank you for your attention. See you next time.