BY MIRABEL ODETA
President Donald Trump is set to visit Iowa on Tuesday as he works to reinforce political support in a state central to his rural base, even as economic strain and policy uncertainty test the patience of farmers and renewable-fuel producers across the Midwest.
The trip to the nation’s top producer of corn, hogs, and ethanol comes at a tense moment for the agricultural sector. Farmers are grappling with persistently weak crop prices, elevated costs for seeds, fertilizer, and fuel, and lingering questions about federal support programs. Together, those pressures are raising concerns that the president’s standing in the farm belt could begin to slip.
Lance Lillibridge, a 56-year-old corn and cattle farmer from Vinton, said he plans to drive two hours to the Des Moines area to attend the event. He described a farm economy under severe stress, noting that trade tensions with China and higher production costs have drained cash reserves for many producers. Lillibridge said he hopes the administration will step in again with another multibillion-dollar aid package to stabilize struggling operations.
“There’s going to have to be something because right now everything’s just terrible. I’ve never been so cash poor in my entire life,” he said, adding that he still considers himself a Trump supporter “for the most part,” despite growing worries about the future.
Trump’s Iowa stop also comes as the White House deals with fallout from a crisis in neighboring Minnesota, where federal immigration agents fatally shot 37-year-old U.S. citizen Alex Pretti during a protest in Minneapolis. The incident sparked widespread demonstrations and renewed calls for independent investigations, adding to the broader political tension surrounding the visit.
Administration officials say Trump plans to highlight his support for agriculture and renewable fuels while tying those policies to a wider economic message focused on lowering the cost of food, fuel, and household goods. The president is expected to argue that deregulation and energy policies have helped keep fuel prices down, even as farmers struggle with income losses.
Scott Irwin, an agricultural economist at the University of Illinois, said the president’s trade policies have clearly hurt crop farmers, but that other actions have helped maintain political support in rural areas. He noted that easing regulations and keeping energy prices relatively low have softened the blow, especially when combined with federal assistance programs.
“As long as the administration and a Republican-controlled Congress are willing to cover a significant share of crop losses through special programs, support among farmers is likely to hold,” Irwin said.
Public opinion remains sharply divided. An Ipsos poll that concluded Sunday found that only 30 percent of Americans approve of Trump’s handling of the rising cost of living, while 59 percent disapprove. Opposition was especially strong among Democrats, though a notable share of Republicans also expressed dissatisfaction.
Economic strain across the farm sector has continued to build. Unsold tractors sit on dealer lots, agribusiness firms are reporting shrinking earnings, and abundant grain supplies have kept market prices depressed. At the same time, production costs have stayed high, leaving farmers squeezed for a third consecutive year.
Policy delays on biofuels have added to the pressure. The administration has yet to finalize biofuel-blending quotas for 2026, known as renewable volume obligations, creating uncertainty for producers and investors. It has also not completed tax guidance for renewable-fuel credits called 45Z, and progress has stalled on a long-standing priority for corn growers: securing congressional approval for year-round sales of gasoline blended with 15 percent ethanol.
Without that nationwide approval, industry leaders say many farmers will continue to depend on government assistance just to survive. Mark Mueller, president of the Iowa Corn Growers Association, warned that the lack of progress is forcing producers to remain reliant on federal payments rather than market-driven demand.
The impact has been especially severe for Iowa’s biodiesel industry. State biodiesel plants produced 244 million gallons in 2025, a 31 percent drop from the previous year, according to industry data. At full capacity, Iowa’s plants are capable of producing more than 400 million gallons annually, underscoring how far production has fallen.
Monte Shaw, executive director of the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association, described the past year as devastating for biodiesel producers. He said uncertainty around tax policy and low biofuel quotas has pushed many plants to the brink, with operators waiting anxiously for direction from Washington.
“Last year was a real gut punch for biodiesel everywhere, and Iowa was no exception,” Shaw said. “The lack of clear tax policy combined with weak quotas sent producers into a tailspin. Many plants are barely hanging on, hoping for clarity that could determine whether they survive or shut down.”
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