BY EMMANUEL OGBONNA

After nearly two decades of intermittent and often difficult negotiations, India and the European Union on Tuesday announced they have concluded a sweeping free trade agreement designed to significantly deepen economic, strategic and political ties between the two sides. Leaders on both ends hailed the accord as one of the most ambitious trade deals ever negotiated, with the potential to affect close to 2 billion people and reshape global commerce at a time of mounting geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

The agreement links two of the world’s largest markets, accounting for roughly a quarter of global economic output and about one-third of international trade. It comes as both India and the EU face growing pressure from shifting U.S. trade policies, including higher import tariffs that have disrupted long-standing supply chains and prompted major economies to look for alternative partnerships.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said the deal would unlock vast opportunities for businesses and workers across both regions. Speaking in a virtual address at an energy conference, Modi described the agreement as a milestone that would strengthen prosperity and stability at a moment when the global economic order is under strain.

Under the pact, India and the EU’s 27 member states will eliminate or sharply reduce tariffs on almost all goods traded between them. The scope of the agreement spans a wide range of products, from textiles, apparel and engineering goods to medicines, chemicals and automobiles. High import duties that have long been a sticking point in negotiations, particularly on European wine and cars entering the Indian market, will be reduced gradually under agreed timelines.

Beyond trade in goods, the two sides also agreed on a framework to deepen cooperation in defense and security, reflecting shared concerns over regional stability and global security challenges. A separate arrangement aimed at easing mobility for skilled professionals and students was also announced, signaling that the partnership is intended to extend well beyond commercial interests.

The breakthrough follows renewed momentum in talks amid growing unease over U.S. trade tactics. Washington has imposed or threatened steep tariffs on both India and the EU, prompting officials in New Delhi and Brussels to accelerate efforts to diversify trade relationships. At a joint appearance in New Delhi alongside European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President António Costa, Modi said the strengthened partnership with Europe would help reinforce stability in the international system during a period of global turbulence.

Von der Leyen described the agreement as historic, calling it the “mother of all deals” and a defining moment for relations between what she termed “two giants” of the global economy. In later remarks, she said the pact demonstrated that cooperation, rather than confrontation, offered the most effective response to shared global challenges.

Economically, the deal is expected to integrate supply chains more closely and boost joint manufacturing across both regions. Officials estimate that the agreement could cut up to 4 billion euros ($4.7 billion) in annual tariffs for exporters, while supporting job creation for millions of workers in India and Europe.

A formal signing of the agreement is expected later this year, once legal reviews are completed and the text is ratified by the European Parliament. Indian Trade Minister Piyush Goyal said he expects the deal to come into force by the end of the year.

According to officials from both sides, India will reduce or eliminate tariffs on 96.6% of EU exports, while the EU will phase in similar concessions covering nearly 99% of Indian exports by trade value. Indian industries expected to benefit most include textiles, apparel, leather goods, handicrafts, footwear, engineering products and marine exports. European gains are projected in sectors such as automobiles, wine, chemicals, pharmaceuticals and machinery.

A quota-based system has been agreed for sensitive products including automobiles, wines and whisky, allowing duties to fall significantly without fully opening markets overnight. The European Commission said tariffs on EU-made cars sold in India will be reduced gradually from 110% to as low as 10%, while duties on car parts will be eliminated entirely within five to ten years. High tariffs on machinery, chemicals and pharmaceuticals will also be largely removed. Import duties on premium European wines are set to fall from 150% to about 20%.

Some sectors, however, have been excluded due to political and economic sensitivities. India has kept dairy products such as milk and cheese, as well as cereals, outside the agreement, citing concerns over domestic producers. The EU, for its part, will not grant preferential access for Indian sugar, meat, poultry and beef products.

For India, the agreement is part of a broader strategy to diversify export markets and offset the impact of higher U.S. tariffs, including additional levies imposed over New Delhi’s continued purchases of discounted Russian oil. For the EU, the deal offers greater access to one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies and a way to reduce reliance on more volatile or politically fraught markets.

Trade between India and the EU totaled about $136.5 billion in the 2024–2025 period. Officials on both sides have said they aim to raise that figure to roughly $200 billion by 2030.

Analysts say the agreement reflects a wider realignment in global trade. Ajay Srivastava, an Indian trade expert, said the deal is ultimately about building a stable commercial corridor between two major markets at a time when the global trading system is fragmenting.

The EU, meanwhile, continues to grapple with strained relations with the United States, as European leaders voice frustration over higher tariffs, political tensions and disputes involving Greenland, a semiautonomous territory of Denmark. In response, Brussels has accelerated outreach to partners around the world, concluding or advancing trade deals with countries and regions including Japan, Indonesia, Mexico and South America under its push for greater “strategic autonomy.”

Against that backdrop, the India-EU agreement stands out as a cornerstone of both sides’ efforts to adapt to a more uncertain and multipolar global economy.

Original article