Welcoming a new state into the politics of uncertainty is a new form of governance and separation of authority taken from states of power. But overall, the formation of a new state with federal authority over its members is a new key challenge for democracy and other forms of governance.
Supporters and critics will be divided amongst themselves, creating a huge gap of influence and power over the newly established government that lacks justification and an official capacity for power that is based on parliamentary principles. That also leads to a new phase of conflict over constitutional changes that states would want to be part of to help establish the basic foundations as to say, but in truth the motives are higher than that.
It’s a form of new colonialism but through the words and actions of (help) and (assistance), a string of heavy dependency that will never get any better. And that’s exactly the case with Somaliland, a newly established state that assumes to have gained independence from their own land (Somalia), but the probability of it’s success does not seem to be clear and obvious due to reasons that have been highly debated and continue to be a source of controversy in recent days and weeks.
Whether the formation of a new state in this context and through recent events is a step forward towards prosperity of a community or a failure of a whole society, it heavily depends on the motives of those involved through the development process. But one shall never forget that there are other aspects of it, something that stretches beyond the ordinary sense of political reality and power.
Somaliland is one of newest members of the international political order who have allegedly claim to represent their own interests through independence. With a long history of a push and pull game through the African territories and specifically with Somalia’s official borders and authority, the new governance is a fragile one, that it requires a long process of negotiation and balancing out the differences of what could be achieved and what shall be weighed out of the political estimation of international order and rule.
It is not of a surprise for countries to hesitate in forming direct diplomatic alliances and links with a newly established and emerging country. There are multiple reasons and challenges that go hand in hand with every decision and step towards a quick diplomatic reconciliation and rectification. And that includes the possibility of taking geopolitical advantages of the newly formed land and consider it as a political debris and dumpster.
The struggle between Somalia as an official bystander of their state with an independent heritage, with the newly formed Somaliland, has been an ongoing battle and debate between both parties for a very long time. But the middle ground of the issue is not centered about winners and losers, it’s more about the consequences after the alleged independence that is not encouraged and supported by the majority of world leaders.
From a political perspective, The estimated advantage comes in a thorough analysis of modern colonialism but in an indirect way. First the support will come in terms of basing troops and maritime security and forces over the region and within the country to ensure the security and stability of the newly formed state. Second, the vulnerability of the newly formed state is shackled and fragile, which makes consent and acceptance from world powers over their entire existence and system of governance very difficult to maintain and compromise. That leads into an entire division of the judicial system, as the country will be ruling against the interest of the law, as well as the international community and its own interests in regards to regional safety. Third, newly formed states are weak due to them being unofficially recognized by the international system. That results in trying to link their diplomatic relations and allies with any country that aims at strengthening ties between them both, even if it leads to unexpected outcomes of taking full advantage and regarding the area and land as a personal politicial backyard for their own interests.
But as time goes by, understanding the situation of an unofficially established state tends to be more complex due to the extreme nature of sovereignty. Not only that, but the dynamic of a divided power and the full dependency will be an international struggle that might lead into another phase of a cold-war, domestically, as they will be the protectors against any kind of threats due to their bases and maritime forces that will act as a barrier. And not to forget the shared power that will come into life as time goes by, which leaves members of the political and international community question on whether the support is a favor or a necessity of duty ?.
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