Chris Whalen: Time To Go Risk-Off, Why A Treasury Crisis Could Be Ahead, & Gold Displaces The Dollar

Chris Whalen: Time To Go Risk-Off, Why A Treasury Crisis Could Be Ahead, & Gold Displaces The Dollar

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Profit Playbook
Sep 19, 2025

Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, returns to the show his monthly appearance. In this episode, Whalen reports taking a risk-off position after 30% gains this year, noting Wall Street hedge funds are similarly going net short amid concerns about Treasury market stability. He warns that upcoming Supreme Court tariff decisions could force costly refunds while the Treasury faces mounting deficits from recent legislation. Whalen criticizes the Fed's ""reckless"" quantitative easing policies and predicts the dollar will lose reserve currency status as countries seek alternatives, leading to inevitable inflation as the US monetizes its debt. He sees parallels to 1924 Florida real estate speculation but expects a coming housing reset that could take prices back to 2020-21 levels, creating opportunities for patient buyers.