SIGNS of a PA Swing: Predicting the 2024 Presidential Election on the GROUND

SIGNS of a PA Swing: Predicting the 2024 Presidential Election on the GROUND

P
Professor's Garage
1 Video View·Nov 4, 2024  #election2024 #electionpredictions #polling

Professor Key takes a unique detour from his regular car care content to analyze the presidential election landscape in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. Three days before Election Day, he explores this swing county, counting campaign signs for both Trump/Vance and Harris/Walz to predict where Pennsylvania—and potentially the nation—may lean. Given the close margins in past elections and Bucks’ history of leaning red in local races while voting blue in presidential ones, he suggests that the county’s direction could be a strong indicator of the state and national outcome. Using a straightforward sign-counting method as a model, he shares his predictions, comments on polling inaccuracies, and invites viewers to enjoy this lighthearted look at election trends before diving back into car repairs. #election2024 #electionpredictions #polling

Sunday 11/4/2024, my model predictions on blue wall states:

* 2024 PA Presidential:
R Votes / D Votes: 1.02493069
Harris/Walz: 48.89%
Trump/Vance: 50.11% (Winner)

* 2024 WI Presidential:
R Votes / D Votes: 1.02493069
Harris/Walz: 48.95%
Trump/Vance: 50.05% (Winner)

* 2024 MI Presidential:
R Votes / D Votes: 1.02493069
Harris/Walz: 49.02%
Trump/Vance: 49.98% (Winner)