Name: James Webb Confirms Asteroid 2024 YR4 Is Likely to Hit the Moon — It Could Light Up Earth’s Sky | Videos | Gan Jing World - Technology for Humanity | Video & Movie Streaming
Uploaded: 2025-06-18T14:16:52.051Z
Duration: 10 min 12 s
Description: #moon #2024yr4 #asteroidimpact #dartmission #asteroidapophis #asteroiddefense #nasa A few months ag... | Videos | Gan Jing World - Technology for Humanity | Video & Movie Streaming

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https://video1-us-east.cloudokyo.cloud/video/v12/ee/f9/11/eef91109-84e3-4d67-b738-30f32c16ef5d/master.m3u8

#moon #2024yr4 #asteroidimpact #dartmission #asteroidapophis #asteroiddefense #nasa

A few months ago, scientists had warned that an asteroid named 2024 YR4 had around a 3% chance of colliding with Earth in the Year 2032. However, after further observations and new sets of data, experts now say the chances of it hitting Earth are extremely low — almost close to zero. This updated confirmation from NASA has definitely brought relief to many, as it means there's no immediate threat of this asteroid impacting Earth directly during its upcoming flyby.

But wait — while Earth might be safe, the Moon may not be as lucky.

You might have already heard some early speculations that 2024 YR4 could pose a threat to our lunar neighbor. Initially, scientists estimated a little over 2% chance of the asteroid hitting the Moon. But now, recent observations from the James Webb Space Telescope have upgraded that risk. According to its latest data, the probability of this asteroid striking the Moon is actually higher than earlier estimated. New findings suggest there is now a 4.3% chance — or in simpler terms, 1 in every 23 flybys — that the asteroid could collide with the Moon in the year 2032.

This new prediction has once again sparked public concern, raising important questions: How devastating would an asteroid impact be on the Moon? And more importantly, could it affect Earth in any way?


While the chances of it hitting Earth during its recent pass are now nearly zero, the odds of the asteroid hitting the Moon have risen significantly. and the consequences for the Moon could be severe.

source - https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.11217